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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
27.09.2025 14:00
Etihad Stadium
Referee: R. Jones
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Burnley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
M. Esteve
Manchester City
🟨
27'
Quilindschy Hartman
Burnley
🟨
30'
Kyle Walker
Burnley
⚽
38'
J. Anthony · Assist: Q. Hartman
Burnley
⚽
61'
M. Nunes · Assist: E. Haaland
Manchester City
🔄
62'
Savinho ↔ O. Bobb
Manchester City
🔄
62'
L. Tchaouna ↔ J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🟨
63'
Jaidon Anthony
Burnley
⚽
65'
M. Esteve
Manchester City
🔄
70'
J. Gvardiol ↔ N. Ake
Manchester City
🔄
79'
J. Cullen ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
🔄
80'
L. Foster ↔ L. Ugochukwu
Burnley
🟨
83'
Phil Foden
Manchester City
🔄
83'
N. O'Reilly ↔ R. Lewis
Manchester City
🔄
83'
T. Reijnders ↔ B. Silva
Manchester City
🔄
88'
Q. Hartman ↔ H. Mejbri
Burnley
🔄
88'
J. Anthony ↔ B. Humphreys
Burnley
⚽
90'
E. Haaland · Assist: J. Doku
Manchester City
⚽
90'
E. Haaland
Manchester City

Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.74
Burnley0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
4.67
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 6 matches
Burnley Burnley 5 matches
Manchester City Statistic Burnley
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
11 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 8
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
2 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 2.8
13 Total Shots 8.4
4.33 Corners 3
55.7% Ball Possession 33.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 15 times, Burnley won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 52:3 from Manchester City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-1-4-1 / Burnley 5-4-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 15, draws 0, Burnley wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship