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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
31.10.2026 15:00
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.86
Brighton2.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
35 GF / 15 GA
Brighton Brighton
WLDWL
39 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.69
Average Goals Scored
3
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
9
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
9
6.3
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 13 matches
Brighton Brighton 13 matches
Manchester City Statistic Brighton
11 Wins 10
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
35 Goals For 39
15 Goals Against 8
2.69 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
9 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 10
0 Failed To Score 1
6.3 Shots On Goal 6.5
16.6 Total Shots 20.6
6.3 Corners 7.1
63.4% Ball Possession 64.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 9 times, Brighton won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:15 from Manchester City's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 9, draws 3, Brighton wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 19:7 12 21
W W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 11:5 6 18
W W L W W
3 7 5 1 1 23:5 18 16
W W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 17:13 4 13
W W L D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:8 1 12
W L W D W
6 7 2 4 1 13:8 5 10
L D W D D
7 7 2 4 1 9:6 3 10
D L D W D
8 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
9 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D L D D
10 7 3 0 4 11:15 -4 9
L W L W L
11 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
L L W L D
12 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
W D W L D
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D D D L D
14 7 2 1 4 9:17 -8 7
L W D L W
15 7 1 3 3 9:13 -4 6
W L L D D
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
W D L D D
17 7 2 0 5 6:14 -8 6
L W W L L
18 7 1 2 4 7:10 -3 5
W L D D L
19 7 1 2 4 5:9 -4 5
L L L W D
20 7 1 1 5 6:14 -8 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship