31.10.2026 15:00

Manchester City

0 - 1

Brighton

Etihad Stadium

Referee: C. Pawson

Manchester City vs Brighton H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Manchester City

Match Timeline

Brighton

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 64.1%

Odds -

1 agree / 0 disagree

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	64.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Manchester City Win 64.1%

Draw 19.6%

Brighton Win 16.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester City1.81

Brighton2.04

Recent Form (Last 5)

Manchester City

L W W L W

14 GF / 9 GA

Brighton

L D W W W

11 GF / 2 GA

Key Stats

2.57

Average Goals Scored

2.6

1.21

Average Goals Conceded

0.67

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.36

Shots on Goal

5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City 14 matches

Brighton 15 matches

Manchester City	Statistic	Brighton
11	Wins	10
1	Draws	3
2	Losses	2
36	Goals For	39
17	Goals Against	10
2.57	Avg Goals Scored	2.6
1.21	Avg Goals Conceded	0.67
10	BTTS Yes	3
12	Over 1.5	12
10	Over 2.5	9
7	Over 3.5	7
4	Clean Sheets	11
0	Failed To Score	3
6.36	Shots On Goal	5.83
16.45	Total Shots	20.75
6.36	Corners	6.67
63.4%	Ball Possession	64.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 9 times, Brighton won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:15 from Manchester City's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (83.7%)

Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-3-3 / Brighton 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Manchester City 1, Brighton 8

H2H summary: Manchester City wins 9, draws 3, Brighton wins 3

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	15:5	10	27	W W W W W
2	Brighton Away	10	7	1	2	26:7	19	22	W W L W W
3	Manchester City Home	10	7	0	3	21:13	8	21	L L L W W
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	14:10	4	18	W L W W L
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	19:16	3	16	L W L W W
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	12:10	2	16	W W L L D
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	16:14	2	15	W W W W L
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	16:11	5	14	L W D L D
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	10:8	2	14	W L D D L
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	D D W W D
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	10:11	-1	12	L W W W D
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	13:16	-3	12	D L W L L
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	11:11	0	11	L D D L D
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	15:20	-5	11	L D D L W
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	10:12	-2	10	D D W W L
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	9:13	-4	9	W L D L L
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	10:19	-9	9	L W L L W
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	14:19	-5	8	D L L D D
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	8:17	-9	8	W L D L L
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	10:24	-14	7	L L L L W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Relegation - Championship