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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
23.08.2026 13:00
Etihad Stadium
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Bournemouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
M. Tavernier · Assist: Evanilson
Bournemouth
🟨
45+1'
Evanilson
Bournemouth
🔄
57'
R. Lewis ↔ M. Nunes
Manchester City
🔄
63'
E. Anderson ↔ M. Kovacic
Manchester City
🔄
63'
N. O'Reilly ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🔄
75'
L. Cook ↔ T. Adams
Bournemouth
🔄
75'
J. Kluivert ↔ A. Toth
Bournemouth
🔄
75'
Evanilson ↔ D. Jebbison
Bournemouth
🟨
78'
Phil Foden
Manchester City
🔄
82'
P. Foden ↔ J. Grealish
Manchester City
⚽
84'
M. Guehi · Assist: R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
85'
António Silva
Bournemouth
🔄
89'
Rayan ↔ B. Gannon-Doak
Bournemouth
VAR
90+2'
Joško Gvardiol
Manchester City
⚽
90'
J. Gvardiol · Assist: R. Cherki
Manchester City

Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 51.3%
Draw 15%
Bournemouth Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City2.04
Bournemouth3.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
7 GF / 3 GA
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WLDWL
22 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
4.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 3 matches
Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 matches
Manchester City Statistic Bournemouth
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
7 Goals For 22
3 Goals Against 8
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 4.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 13 times, Bournemouth won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from Manchester City's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Manchester City 2, Bournemouth 7
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 13, draws 1, Bournemouth wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship