ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
23.08.2026 13:00
Etihad Stadium
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Bournemouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
M. Tavernier · Assist: Evanilson
Bournemouth
🟨
45+1'
Evanilson
Bournemouth
🔄
57'
R. Lewis ↔ M. Nunes
Manchester City
🔄
63'
E. Anderson ↔ M. Kovacic
Manchester City
🔄
63'
N. O'Reilly ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🔄
75'
L. Cook ↔ T. Adams
Bournemouth
🔄
75'
J. Kluivert ↔ A. Toth
Bournemouth
🔄
75'
Evanilson ↔ D. Jebbison
Bournemouth
🟨
78'
Phil Foden
Manchester City
🔄
82'
P. Foden ↔ J. Grealish
Manchester City
84'
M. Guehi · Assist: R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
85'
António Silva
Bournemouth
🔄
89'
Rayan ↔ B. Gannon-Doak
Bournemouth
VAR
90+2'
Joško Gvardiol
Manchester City
90'
J. Gvardiol · Assist: R. Cherki
Manchester City

Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.3%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 51.3%
Draw 15%
Bournemouth Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City2.04
Bournemouth3.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
7 GF / 3 GA
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WLDWL
22 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
4.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 3 matches
Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 matches
Manchester City Statistic Bournemouth
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
7 Goals For 22
3 Goals Against 8
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 4.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 13 times, Bournemouth won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from Manchester City's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Manchester City 2, Bournemouth 7
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 13, draws 1, Bournemouth wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship