BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena da Amazonia
Manaus FC
Match Timeline
Nacional AM
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
Caio Mancha
Nacional AM
60'
Allefe
Manaus FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 49.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
49.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
70.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manaus FC Win 25.9%
Draw 4.7%
Nacional AM Win 69.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manaus FC0.8
Nacional AM1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manaus FC Manaus FC
WWDLW
6 GF / 9 GA
Nacional AM Nacional AM
WLDWL
11 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
3
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manaus FC Manaus FC 8 matches
Nacional AM Nacional AM 8 matches
Manaus FC Statistic Nacional AM
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
6 Goals For 11
9 Goals Against 7
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nacional AM's more proactive style and Manaus FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nacional AM. Nacional AM carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Manaus FC sit 5 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nacional AM having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Manaus FC Analysis

Manaus FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 9 points after 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 6:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nacional AM Analysis

Nacional AM come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 16 points from 8 matches. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anderson Alagoano (2 goals), Ryan Luka (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manaus FC won 5 times, Nacional AM won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Manaus FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Manaus FC wins 5, draws 4, Nacional AM wins 6
Last matches: Manaus FC
24.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Sao Raimundo
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Sao Raimundo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Imperatriz
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Imperatriz
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Trem
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Humaitá
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Águia de Marabá
3
3
D
06.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
2
2
D
15.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Independência
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Independência
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
2
1
W
17.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
Last matches: Nacional AM
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H: Manaus FC vs Nacional AM
31.05.26
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
12.04.26
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
L
20.02.26
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
0
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
L
25.01.25
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
0
W
11.03.23
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
3
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
26.03.22
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
2
D
23.03.22
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
0
W
10.02.22
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
3
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
3
1
W
01.05.21
H2H
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
0
3
W
Last matches: Manaus FC
09.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Sao Raimundo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Imperatriz
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Trem
1
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Águia de Marabá
3
3
D
06.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Independência
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Humaitá
4
0
W
H2H at home: Manaus FC
31.05.26
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
1
L
10.02.24
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
23.03.22
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
0
W
08.05.21
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
3
1
W
Last matches: Nacional AM
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H away: Nacional AM
31.05.26
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
1
W
10.02.24
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
0
L
04.03.23
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
23.03.22
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
3
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D