BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena da Amazonia
Manaus FC
Match Timeline
Monte Roraima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
Luquinhas
Monte Roraima
79'
Leozinho
Monte Roraima
🟥
90+1'
Joao
Manaus FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manaus FC Win 72.7%
Draw 22.7%
Monte Roraima Win 4.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manaus FC0.96
Monte Roraima0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manaus FC Manaus FC
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima
WLDWL
3 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manaus FC Manaus FC 5 matches
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 5 matches
Manaus FC Statistic Monte Roraima
1 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
4 Goals For 3
6 Goals Against 6
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monte Roraima. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monte Roraima having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Manaus FC Analysis

Placed 4 with 5 points from 5 outings, Manaus FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 4:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. L. Silverio Ribeiro (1 goals), D. Mota (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monte Roraima Analysis

Placed 5 with 3 points from 5 outings, Monte Roraima continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 3:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Manaus FC won 0 times, Monte Roraima won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Manaus FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (95.5%)
H2H summary: Manaus FC wins 0, draws 1, Monte Roraima wins 1
Last matches: Manaus FC
14.06.26
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Sao Raimundo
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Sao Raimundo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Imperatriz
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Imperatriz
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Trem
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Humaitá
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Águia de Marabá
3
3
D
06.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
2
2
D
15.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Independência
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Independência
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
2
1
W
Last matches: Monte Roraima
28.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
3
2
W
14.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
0
1
L
H2H: Manaus FC vs Monte Roraima
09.05.26
H2H
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
0
2
L
03.05.26
H2H
Monte Roraima
Manaus FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Manaus FC
31.05.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Sao Raimundo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Imperatriz
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Trem
1
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Águia de Marabá
3
3
D
06.07.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Manaus FC
GAS
1
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Independência
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Manauara
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Manaus FC
Humaitá
4
0
W
H2H at home: Manaus FC
09.05.26
H2H
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
0
2
L
Last matches: Monte Roraima
28.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Guaporé
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
GAS
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Monte Roraima
Manauara
0
2
L
H2H away: Monte Roraima
09.05.26
H2H
Manaus FC
Monte Roraima
0
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)