BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manauara Win 56%
Draw 11.9%
Goiatuba EC Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manauara1.03
Goiatuba EC0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manauara Manauara
WWDLW
17 GF / 6 GA
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
5
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manauara Manauara 13 matches
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 13 matches
Manauara Statistic Goiatuba EC
8 Wins 6
5 Draws 5
0 Losses 2
17 Goals For 14
6 Goals Against 8
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Manauara hold an advantage after winning the first leg 1-0, so Goiatuba EC now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Goiatuba EC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goiatuba EC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Manauara Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Manauara arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 22 points after 10 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats with goals at 13:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Goiatuba EC arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 19 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Last matches: Manauara
04.07.26
Ser
Manauara
Goiatuba EC
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Manauara
Independência
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Manauara
Independência
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Manauara
Sao Raimundo
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Manauara
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Manauara
Manaus FC
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Manauara
Nacional AM
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Manauara
GAS
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Manauara
GAS
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Manauara
Nacional AM
4
2
W
19.04.26
Ser
Manauara
Manaus FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Manauara
Monte Roraima
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Manauara
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Manauara
ASA
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Manauara
ASA
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Manauara
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
04.08.25
Ser
Manauara
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Manauara
Independência
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Manauara
GAS
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Manauara
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
0
W
Last matches: Manauara
28.06.26
Ser
Manauara
Independência
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Manauara
Sao Raimundo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Manauara
Manaus FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Manauara
GAS
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Manauara
Nacional AM
4
2
W
11.04.26
Ser
Manauara
Monte Roraima
2
0
W
16.08.25
Ser
Manauara
ASA
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Manauara
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Manauara
GAS
3
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Manauara
Manaus FC
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Manauara
Trem
2
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Manauara
Humaitá
5
0
W
11.05.25
Ser
Manauara
Águia de Marabá
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Manauara
Tuna Luso
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Manauara
Independência
1
1
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
1
2
L
21.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
4
1
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)