SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
12.07.2026 12:00
Eleda Stadion
Referee: G. Maqedonci
Malmo FF
Match Timeline
IFK Goteborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
A. Djuric · Assist: O. Rosengren
Malmo FF
23'
E. Botheim
Malmo FF
45'
E. Botheim · Assist: O. Sjostrand
Malmo FF
🔄
46'
O. Sjostrand ↔ A. Hoog
Malmo FF
48'
A. Hoog · Assist: E. Botheim
Malmo FF
🔄
57'
S. Clemmensen ↔ S. Alioum
IFK Goteborg
🔄
57'
O. Mansson ↔ M. Fenger
IFK Goteborg
🔄
57'
R. Lundqvist ↔ F. Ottosson
IFK Goteborg
🟨
58'
Jonas Bager
IFK Goteborg
🔄
58'
J. Stryger ↔ J. Karlsson
Malmo FF
🔄
58'
N. John ↔ T. Lundbergh
Malmo FF
🔄
68'
E. Botheim ↔ D. Garcia
Malmo FF
🟨
72'
Filip Ottosson
IFK Goteborg
🔄
75'
F. Eriksson ↔ A. Jallow
IFK Goteborg
🔄
82'
M. Palsson ↔ B. Kurtulus
Malmo FF
🔄
82'
T. Heintz ↔ L. Radakovic
IFK Goteborg
🟨
87'
Andrej Đurić
Malmo FF

Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.7%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 50.1%
Draw 5.3%
IFK Goteborg Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.75
IFK Goteborg1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
WLDWL
37 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
2
11
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
13
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 17 matches
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg 20 matches
Malmo FF Statistic IFK Goteborg
7 Wins 6
3 Draws 6
7 Losses 8
27 Goals For 37
27 Goals Against 40
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2
11 BTTS Yes 15
12 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.73
13.73 Total Shots 15.73
4.64 Corners 5.36
53.8% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Malmo FF's more proactive style and IFK Goteborg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IFK Goteborg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and IFK Goteborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IFK Goteborg having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Malmo FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 16 points compared to IFK Goteborg in 14 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Malmo FF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 16 points from 11 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 21:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

IFK Goteborg Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 14, IFK Goteborg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 13:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 9 times, IFK Goteborg won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from Malmo FF's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-1-3-2 / IFK Goteborg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Malmo FF 2, IFK Goteborg 3
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 9, draws 2, IFK Goteborg wins 4

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation