SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
26.07.2026 14:30
Eleda Stadion
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson
Malmo FF
Match Timeline
IF Elfsborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
A. Zeneli · Assist: J. Magnusson
IF Elfsborg
🔄
21'
S. Holmen ↔ R. Wikstrom
IF Elfsborg
22'
J. Stryger · Assist: N. John
Malmo FF
34'
M. Kamara · Assist: A. Zeneli
IF Elfsborg
🔄
46'
T. Lundbergh ↔ I. Assibu
Malmo FF
🟨
61'
Jens Stryger Larsen
Malmo FF
🔄
69'
N. John ↔ Busanello
Malmo FF
🔄
69'
E. Botheim ↔ D. Garcia
Malmo FF
🟥
73'
Malte Palsson
Malmo FF
🔄
76'
A. Hoog ↔ B. Kurtulus
Malmo FF
🔄
76'
L. Ostman ↔ F. Ihler
IF Elfsborg
🔄
76'
A. Zeneli ↔ S. Hedlund
IF Elfsborg
🟨
79'
Busanello
Malmo FF
🟨
79'
Sead Hakšabanović
Malmo FF
🟨
84'
Andrej Đurić
Malmo FF
🔄
84'
J. Stryger ↔ J. Karlsson
Malmo FF
🔄
85'
A. Jensen ↔ R. Mohammed
IF Elfsborg
🔄
85'
M. Kamara ↔ F. Aronsson
IF Elfsborg
🟨
89'
Isak Pettersson
IF Elfsborg

Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 69.6%
Draw 6.4%
IF Elfsborg Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.56
IF Elfsborg1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WLDWL
29 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
12
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
11
5
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 19 matches
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 23 matches
Malmo FF Statistic IF Elfsborg
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
33 Goals For 29
29 Goals Against 30
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
12 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 3.71
14.38 Total Shots 11.5
4.85 Corners 3.86
55.6% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IF Elfsborg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-3-3 and IF Elfsborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IF Elfsborg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Malmo FF Analysis

So far, Malmo FF have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 19 points from 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 25:20 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Erik Botheim (2 goals), Andrej Đurić (1 goals), Anton Höög (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (1 assists), Otto Rosengren (1 assists), Oscar Sjostrand (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

IF Elfsborg sit 9 with 18 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ari Sigurpálsson (1 goals), with creative support from Julius Magnusson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 7 times, IF Elfsborg won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Malmo FF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-3-3 / IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Malmo FF 6, IF Elfsborg 1
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 7, draws 3, IF Elfsborg wins 5

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
3 20 11 4 5 45:19 26 37
D L W W W
4 20 8 8 4 33:29 4 32
D L W W L
5 19 9 5 5 28:27 1 32
D W W W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:21 7 31
L W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 33:30 3 30
D W L W L
8 20 8 5 7 28:34 -6 29
L W D L W
9 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
10 20 7 6 7 29:32 -3 27
W L W W D
11 20 7 5 8 28:40 -12 26
W W D L W
12 19 5 5 9 25:33 -8 20
L L L W L
13 20 5 4 11 21:30 -9 19
L L D L L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 20 3 6 11 23:43 -20 15
D L D L L
16 20 2 5 13 13:37 -24 11
L W D L L
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