Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Malmo FF
19 matches
IF Elfsborg
23 matches
| Malmo FF | Statistic | IF Elfsborg |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 33 | Goals For | 29 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 14.38 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 3.86 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IF Elfsborg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-3-3 and IF Elfsborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IF Elfsborg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Malmo FF have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 19 points from 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 25:20 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Erik Botheim (2 goals), Andrej Đurić (1 goals), Anton Höög (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (1 assists), Otto Rosengren (1 assists), Oscar Sjostrand (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
IF Elfsborg sit 9 with 18 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ari Sigurpálsson (1 goals), with creative support from Julius Magnusson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 7 times, IF Elfsborg won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Malmo FF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Malmo FF
1
4
4
4
7
1
Lineups
Malmo FF
Gais
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
Malmo FF
Halmstad
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Sirius
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
Gais
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
Gais
IF Elfsborg
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
Orgryte IS
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
IF Elfsborg
Halmstad
IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
IF Elfsborg
Kalmar FF
IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
IF Elfsborg
Osters IF
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
Malmo FF
Halmstad
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
Malmo FF
Sirius
Malmo FF
Gais
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
Malmo FF
FK Crvena Zvezda
Malmo FF
Sparta Praha
Malmo FF
Panathinaikos
Malmo FF
Dinamo Zagreb
Malmo FF
Ludogorets
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
Malmo FF
FC Copenhagen
Malmo FF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
Saburtalo
IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
IF Elfsborg
Gais
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
Orgryte IS
IF Elfsborg
Halmstad
IF Elfsborg
Kalmar FF
IF Elfsborg
Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
Gais
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 47:23 | 24 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40:15 | 25 | 33 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
IF Elfsborg
Away
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 27 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 5 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34:19 | 15 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Malmo FF
Home
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 26 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:16 | 5 | 23 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 21 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 20 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:38 | -16 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 21:40 | -19 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 7 |
L
L
D
L
L
|