SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
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Eleda Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 40%
Draw 19.8%
Djurgardens IF Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.48
Djurgardens IF1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
38 GF / 35 GA
Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
WLDWL
47 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
15
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
14
4.53
Shots on Goal
6.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 23 matches
Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF 23 matches
Malmo FF Statistic Djurgardens IF
10 Wins 12
4 Draws 4
9 Losses 7
38 Goals For 47
35 Goals Against 28
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
15 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 3
4.53 Shots On Goal 6.56
13.88 Total Shots 16.06
4.71 Corners 7.06
57.1% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Djurgardens IF. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Djurgardens IF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Djurgardens IF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Malmo FF Analysis

So far, Malmo FF have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 26 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Erik Botheim (2 goals), Diego García (2 goals), Sead Hakšabanović (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (2 assists), Sead Hakšabanović (2 assists), Anton Höög (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Djurgardens IF Analysis

Djurgardens IF come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 26 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 34:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kristian Stromland Lien (6 goals), Bo Åsulv Hegland (3 goals), Patric Åslund (1 goals), with creative support from Bo Åsulv Hegland (3 assists), Max Larsson (2 assists), Kristian Stromland Lien (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 5 times, Djurgardens IF won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Malmo FF's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-1-4-1 / Djurgardens IF 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 5, draws 4, Djurgardens IF wins 6
Last matches: Malmo FF
16.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
1
0
W
09.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
3
L
02.08.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
26.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
20.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
2
2
D
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
04.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
Last matches: Djurgardens IF
16.08.26
All
Djurgardens IF
AIK Stockholm
1
3
L
10.08.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
1
L
03.08.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
6
0
W
25.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
20.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Orgryte IS
0
0
D
13.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Halmstad
3
0
W
06.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
BK Hacken
4
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
Sirius
1
1
D
22.05.26
All
Djurgardens IF
IF Brommapojkarna
1
2
L
18.05.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Sirius
2
3
L
10.05.26
All
Djurgardens IF
AIK Stockholm
4
2
W
04.05.26
All
Djurgardens IF
IFK Goteborg
6
0
W
26.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Hammarby FF
1
1
D
22.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
17.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
0
1
L
12.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Kalmar FF
3
2
W
06.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Gais
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
4
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
Degerfors IF
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
Valerenga
2
1
W
H2H: Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF
17.04.26
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
0
1
W
20.09.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
0
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
4
0
W
01.05.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
25.04.24
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
0
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
0
0
D
17.07.23
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
2
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
2
2
D
20.10.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
2
3
L
16.05.22
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
4
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
0
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
03.05.21
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
3
1
L
19.10.20
H2H
Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF
3
2
L
Last matches: Malmo FF
09.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
3
L
26.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
22.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Panathinaikos
0
1
L
23.10.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
24.09.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Ludogorets
1
2
L
21.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
3
0
W
05.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Copenhagen
0
0
D
30.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
H2H at home: Malmo FF
20.09.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
4
0
W
01.05.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
0
0
D
20.10.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
2
3
L
18.09.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
Last matches: Djurgardens IF
10.08.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
1
L
25.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
20.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Orgryte IS
0
0
D
06.07.26
All
Djurgardens IF
BK Hacken
4
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
Sirius
1
1
D
10.05.26
All
Djurgardens IF
AIK Stockholm
4
2
W
22.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
All
Djurgardens IF
Gais
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Djurgardens IF
IF Brommapojkarna
1
1
D
H2H away: Djurgardens IF
20.09.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
0
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
4
0
L
01.05.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
0
0
D
20.10.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
2
3
W
18.09.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 3 1 47:23 24 42
L D W W W
2 17 10 3 4 40:15 25 33
W W D W W
3 17 7 7 3 29:26 3 28
W L D D W
4 17 8 4 5 25:25 0 28
W W L D W
5 17 7 6 4 24:18 6 27
W W W L L
6 16 8 2 6 34:19 15 26
L L W W D
7 17 8 2 7 32:27 5 26
W L W L D
8 17 7 4 6 25:32 -7 25
L W L W D
9 17 6 5 6 21:16 5 23
L W D L W
10 17 5 6 6 25:27 -2 21
W D L D L
11 16 5 5 6 24:23 1 20
W L L D L
12 17 5 4 8 22:38 -16 19
L W W L W
13 17 5 3 9 21:28 -7 18
L L D W D
14 17 4 4 9 17:27 -10 16
W W L L L
15 17 3 4 10 21:40 -19 13
L L W L D
16 17 1 4 12 11:34 -23 7
L L L D L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation