SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
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Eleda Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 71.7%
Draw 5.6%
Degerfors IF Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.71
Degerfors IF1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WLDWL
27 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
14
4.93
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 21 matches
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 23 matches
Malmo FF Statistic Degerfors IF
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 12
36 Goals For 27
32 Goals Against 39
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
14 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 7
4.93 Shots On Goal 2.8
14.27 Total Shots 11.27
4.8 Corners 4.73
56.5% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Malmo FF's more proactive style and Degerfors IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Degerfors IF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Degerfors IF in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Degerfors IF having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Degerfors IF. Malmo FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 20 points compared to Degerfors IF in 14 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF are currently 8 in the standings with 20 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 28:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Erik Botheim (2 goals), Noah Åstrand John (1 goals), Adrian Skogmar (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (2 assists), Noah Åstrand John (1 assists), Otto Rosengren (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Degerfors IF Analysis

With 10 points from 14 games and a place of 14, Degerfors IF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 12:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 8 times, Degerfors IF won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:6 from Malmo FF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-1-4-1 / Degerfors IF 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 8, draws 2, Degerfors IF wins 0
Last matches: Malmo FF
02.08.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
26.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
20.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
2
2
D
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
04.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Jeonbuk Motors
1
2
L
Last matches: Degerfors IF
02.08.26
All
Degerfors IF
IFK Goteborg
0
2
L
25.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
19.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Hammarby FF
0
4
L
12.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
2
L
04.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
1
L
26.06.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Lillestrom
3
2
W
31.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
23.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Gais
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Mjallby AIF
1
4
L
02.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
BK Hacken
1
1
D
27.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
23.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
2
1
W
17.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
0
1
L
12.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Halmstad
3
0
W
04.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Sirius
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
IFK Norrkoping
3
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
United Nordic
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
H2H: Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
04.07.26
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
4
W
23.09.23
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
1
2
W
05.06.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
5
0
W
05.03.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
29.05.22
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
2
W
21.08.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
3
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
5
W
Last matches: Malmo FF
26.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
22.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Panathinaikos
0
1
L
23.10.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
24.09.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Ludogorets
1
2
L
21.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
3
0
W
05.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Copenhagen
0
0
D
30.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
15.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Saburtalo
3
1
W
H2H at home: Malmo FF
31.08.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
05.06.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
5
0
W
05.03.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
21.08.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
3
0
W
Last matches: Degerfors IF
02.08.26
All
Degerfors IF
IFK Goteborg
0
2
L
19.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Hammarby FF
0
4
L
12.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Lillestrom
3
2
W
23.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Gais
1
1
D
27.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
12.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Halmstad
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sirius
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
3
3
D
H2H away: Degerfors IF
31.08.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
05.06.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
5
0
L
05.03.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
1
L
06.11.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
21.08.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
3
0
L