SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
07.09.2026 17:00
Eleda Stadion
Referee: Oscar Johnson, Sweden
Malmo FF
Match Timeline
AIK Stockholm
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
45'
Sixten Gustafsson ↔ Amel Mujanić
AIK Stockholm
🟨
63'
Mads Thychosen
AIK Stockholm
🟨
63'
Sead Hakšabanović
Malmo FF
🔄
66'
Daniel Gudjohnsen ↔ Mayckel Lahdo
Malmo FF
🔄
66'
Theodor Lundbergh ↔ Jovan Milosavljević
Malmo FF
🔄
72'
Yannick Emilio Geiger ↔ Lucas Assadi
AIK Stockholm
🔄
72'
Mads Thychosen ↔ Eskil Smidesang Edh
AIK Stockholm
🔄
86'
Linus Carlstrand ↔ linus jareteg
AIK Stockholm
🔄
86'
kenan busuladzic ↔ Isaac Assibu
Malmo FF
🔄
87'
Busanello ↔ Noah Åstrand John
Malmo FF
🟨
88'
Amel Mujanić
AIK Stockholm
🔄
90+6'
Otto Rosengren ↔ Viggo Jeppsson
Malmo FF

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds 4.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.5%
4.45
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.61
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.5%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 24.9%
Draw 4.6%
AIK Stockholm Win 70.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.63
AIK Stockholm1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
39 GF / 37 GA
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WLDWL
44 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
15
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
19
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 25 matches
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 27 matches
Malmo FF Statistic AIK Stockholm
11 Wins 12
4 Draws 6
10 Losses 9
39 Goals For 44
37 Goals Against 47
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
15 BTTS Yes 19
18 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 5
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.56
13.84 Total Shots 12.94
4.58 Corners 5.11
56.3% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Malmo FF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AIK Stockholm. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-3-3 and AIK Stockholm in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AIK Stockholm having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Malmo FF Analysis

With 26 points from 18 games and a place of 8, Malmo FF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 32:30, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Erik Botheim (2 goals), Diego García (2 goals), Sead Hakšabanović (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (2 assists), Sead Hakšabanović (2 assists), Anton Höög (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 31 points from 18 games, AIK Stockholm bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:27, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Linus Carlstrand (4 goals), Johan Hove (2 goals), Victor Andersson (1 goals), with creative support from Dino Beširović (2 assists), Taha Ayari (2 assists), Linus Carlstrand (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 7 times, AIK Stockholm won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Malmo FF's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-3-3 / AIK Stockholm 3-4-3
Missing players: Malmo FF 5, AIK Stockholm 11
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 7, draws 7, AIK Stockholm wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation