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11.10.2026 16:30
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Mallorca
Match Timeline
Las Palmas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
Pablo Torre · Assist: Josep Cerda
Mallorca
VAR
43'
Alex Sala
Mallorca
🟨
44'
Adrian Liso
Mallorca
🟨
52'
Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi
Las Palmas
⚽
53'
Alex Sala · Assist: Adrian Fuentes
Mallorca
🔄
57'
Kirian Rodríguez ↔ Elías Romero
Las Palmas
🟨
62'
Elías Romero
Las Palmas
🔄
66'
Taisei Miyashiro ↔ Rafael Cruz Suarez
Las Palmas
🔄
68'
Josep Cerda ↔ Zito Luvumbo
Mallorca
🔄
68'
Alberto Moreno ↔ Antonio Latorre Grueso
Mallorca
⚽
73'
Iván Jaime · Assist: Jefte Betancor Sanchez
Las Palmas
🔄
74'
Pablo Torre ↔ Sergi Darder
Mallorca
⚽
82'
Adrian Fuentes · Assist: Sergi Darder
Mallorca
🔄
83'
Alex Sala ↔ Miguel Calatayud García
Mallorca
🔄
83'
Antonio Sánchez ↔ Guille Fernández
Mallorca
🔄
85'
Jefte Betancor Sanchez ↔ Manu Fuster
Las Palmas
🔄
85'
Enzo Loiodice ↔ Giovanni Bonfanti
Las Palmas
🔄
85'
Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario ↔ Mateo Acimovic
Las Palmas
🟨
86'
Juanma Herzog
Las Palmas

Mallorca vs Las Palmas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.1%
1.52 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
2.06 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Mallorca Win 50.1%
Draw 12.7%
Las Palmas Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mallorca1.56
Las Palmas1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mallorca Mallorca
WWDLW
19 GF / 6 GA
Las Palmas Las Palmas
WLDWL
19 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
2
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
8
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mallorca Mallorca 12 matches
Las Palmas Las Palmas 13 matches
Mallorca Statistic Las Palmas
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
19 Goals For 19
6 Goals Against 20
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
2 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
3.63 Shots On Goal 3.88
12.13 Total Shots 10.63
4.25 Corners 4.13
53.4% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Mallorca's more proactive style and Las Palmas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Las Palmas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mallorca expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Las Palmas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Las Palmas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mallorca Analysis

Mallorca arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fuentes (4 goals), Álex Sala (1 goals), A. Buksa (1 goals), with creative support from Álex Sala (1 assists), Arnau Tenas (1 assists), Josep Cerdà (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Las Palmas Analysis

Las Palmas sit 11 with 11 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 12:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Miyashiro (2 goals), Jesé (2 goals), Valentín Pezzolesi (2 goals), with creative support from T. Miyashiro (2 assists), Iván Jaime (2 assists), Elías Romero (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Mallorca won 4 times, Las Palmas won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Mallorca's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Mallorca 4-1-3-2 / Las Palmas 4-4-2
H2H summary: Mallorca wins 4, draws 3, Las Palmas wins 1

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
5 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
6 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
7 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
12 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
13 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
14 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
15 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
16 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
17 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
18 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation