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SPAIN › LA LIGA
17.09.2026 19:30
Estadio La Rosaleda
Referee: M. Ortiz
Malaga
Match Timeline
Villarreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
C. Dotor · Assist: J. Cruz
Malaga
🟨
34'
Jose Salinas
Malaga
🔄
37'
S. Comesana ↔ P. Gueye
Villarreal
⚽
40'
A. Moleiro · Assist: I. Akhomach
Villarreal
🟨
42'
Ilias Akhomach
Villarreal
⚽
45'
P. Gueye · Assist: A. Perez
Villarreal
🔄
46'
J. Salinas ↔ Rafita
Malaga
🔄
46'
J. Cruz ↔ D. Lorenzo
Malaga
🔄
61'
I. Merino ↔ J. Munoz
Malaga
🔄
61'
C. Dotor ↔ A. Nino
Malaga
🔄
63'
I. Akhomach ↔ C. Romero
Villarreal
🔄
63'
A. Perez ↔ G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
🟨
68'
David Larrubia
Malaga
🟨
70'
Einar Galilea
Malaga
🔄
75'
C. Puga ↔ R. Enriquez
Malaga
🟨
79'
Ramón Enríquez
Malaga
🔄
80'
A. Moleiro ↔ S. Mourino
Villarreal
🔄
80'
N. Saliba ↔ C. Macia
Villarreal
VAR
82'
Carlos Romero
Villarreal
🟨
85'
Alfonso Herrero
Malaga
⚽
86'
P. Gueye
Villarreal

Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Malaga Win 41.1%
Draw 26.6%
Villarreal Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malaga1.52
Villarreal1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malaga Malaga
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
Villarreal Villarreal
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
1.8
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malaga Malaga 10 matches
Villarreal Villarreal 10 matches
Malaga Statistic Villarreal
1 Wins 3
6 Draws 2
3 Losses 5
14 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 17
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
1.8 Shots On Goal 6.33
10.8 Total Shots 14.67
5 Corners 7.17
52.6% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Malaga won 3 times, Villarreal won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Malaga's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.4%)
Predicted formations: Malaga 4-1-4-1 / Villarreal 4-4-2
Missing players: Malaga 7, Villarreal 1
H2H summary: Malaga wins 3, draws 4, Villarreal wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 8 1 4 3 12:16 -4 7
D D L L D
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2