Malaga
Match Timeline
Villarreal
Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1 agree /
0 disagree
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
67.7%
|
1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.65 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
Malaga Win 41.1%
Draw 26.6%
Villarreal Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malaga1.52
Villarreal1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malaga
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
Villarreal
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
1.8
Shots on Goal
6.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Malaga
10 matches
Villarreal
10 matches
| Malaga | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 14 | Goals For | 15 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 1.8 | Shots On Goal | 6.33 |
| 10.8 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 5 | Corners | 7.17 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 59.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Malaga won 3 times, Villarreal won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Malaga's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.4%)
Predicted formations: Malaga 4-1-4-1 / Villarreal 4-4-2
Missing players: Malaga 7, Villarreal 1
H2H summary: Malaga wins 3, draws 4, Villarreal wins 7
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Villarreal
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Malaga
Home
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Champions League league stage
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