Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Malaga
40 matches
Sporting Gijon
41 matches
| Malaga | Statistic | Sporting Gijon |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 17 |
| 70 | Goals For | 54 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.1 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 13.05 | Total Shots | 11.2 |
| 3.93 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Gijon. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sporting Gijon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malaga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sporting Gijon in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Gijon having the stronger overall control.
Malaga sit 6 with 63 points after 38 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 66:49 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Chupe (20 goals), A. Nino (12 goals), David Larrubia (9 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Muñoz (6 assists), Chupe (4 assists), David Larrubia (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 52 points from 38 games and a place of 12, Sporting Gijon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 51:49, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Dubasin (15 goals), J. Otero (13 goals), C. Gelabert Pina (8 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (12 assists), G. Rosas (6 assists), J. Dubasin (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malaga won 6 times, Sporting Gijon won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Malaga's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Malaga
7
2
8
2
9
1
Lineups
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Zaragoza
Malaga
Racing Santander
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Eibar
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
FC Andorra
Malaga
Leganes
Malaga
Cadiz
Malaga
Huesca
Malaga
Valladolid
Malaga
Granada CF
Malaga
Albacete
Malaga
Real Sociedad II
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijon
Deportivo La Coruna
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
Sporting Gijon
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Eibar
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Cultural Leonesa
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Racing Santander
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Leganes
Malaga
Huesca
Malaga
Valladolid
Malaga
Albacete
Malaga
Cultural Leonesa
Malaga
Burgos
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Zaragoza
Malaga
Mirandes
Malaga
Cordoba
Malaga
FC Andorra
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
Cadiz
Malaga
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
Sporting Gijon
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
Eibar
Sporting Gijon
Cultural Leonesa
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
Sporting Gijon
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Caudal
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Malaga
Home
|
42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Sporting Gijon
Away
|
42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|