23.01.2026 19:30
Estadio La Rosaleda
Referee: L. Bestard Servera
Malaga
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Curro
Burgos
⚽
33'
D. Larrubia
Malaga
🟨
35'
Mateo Mejia
Burgos
⚽
38'
Chupe · Assist: C. Puga
Malaga
🔄
46'
M. Mejia ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🔄
64'
Curro ↔ M. Gonzalez
Burgos
🟨
71'
Carlos Dotor
Malaga
🔄
71'
J. Munoz ↔ A. Ochoa
Malaga
🔄
72'
C. Dotor ↔ R. Rodriguez
Malaga
🔄
72'
A. Lizancos ↔ A. Bunuel
Burgos
🔄
72'
I. Cordoba ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
78'
Chupe ↔ A. Nino
Malaga
🔄
79'
D. Lorenzo ↔ J. Dorrio
Malaga
⚽
86'
A. Nino · Assist: A. Ochoa
Malaga
🟨
87'
Diego Murillo
Malaga
🔄
87'
I. Merino ↔ Juanpe
Malaga
🟨
90+3'
Aarón Ochoa
Malaga
🟨
90+4'
Sergio González
Burgos
🟨
90+2'
Miguel Atienza
Burgos
🟨
90+2'
Víctor Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
90+1'
F. Miguel ↔ B. Martinez
Burgos

Malaga vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Malaga Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burgos Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malaga1.27
Burgos1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malaga Malaga
WWDLW
36 GF / 29 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
32 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
15
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
10
4.58
Shots on Goal
2.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malaga Malaga 24 matches
Burgos Burgos 26 matches
Malaga Statistic Burgos
11 Wins 13
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
36 Goals For 32
29 Goals Against 24
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
15 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 9
4.58 Shots On Goal 2.81
11.58 Total Shots 9.15
3.71 Corners 3.77
46.3% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Malaga won 1 times, Burgos won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Malaga's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Malaga 4-3-3 / Burgos 4-4-2
H2H summary: Malaga wins 1, draws 3, Burgos wins 4

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation