CHILE PRIMERA B
05.09.2026 16:30
Estadio Santiago Bueras
Magallanes
Match Timeline
Union San Felipe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
58'
M. Fredes ↔ R. Farfan
Magallanes
🔄
58'
B. Liuzzi ↔ E. Neira
Magallanes
🔄
58'
M. Galleguillos ↔ F. Lobos
Union San Felipe
🔄
58'
P. Munoz ↔ A. Fontana
Union San Felipe
🔄
69'
M. Osorio ↔ G. Guzman
Magallanes
🔄
69'
M. Alegre ↔ I. Serpa
Magallanes
🔄
77'
H. Salinas Flores ↔ F. Yanez
Magallanes
🟨
80'
D. Bravo
Union San Felipe
🔄
87'
B. Aravena ↔ O. Henriquez
Union San Felipe
🟨
90+1'
I. Serpa
Magallanes
🔄
90+5'
G. A. Jara Gonzalez ↔ D. Fuentes
Union San Felipe

Magallanes vs Union San Felipe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
1.72
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Magallanes Win 79.8%
Draw 6.2%
Union San Felipe Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Magallanes1.56
Union San Felipe1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Magallanes Magallanes
WWDLW
44 GF / 55 GA
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WLDWL
21 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
22
BTTS Yes
10
20
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Magallanes Magallanes 29 matches
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 28 matches
Magallanes Statistic Union San Felipe
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
14 Losses 14
44 Goals For 21
55 Goals Against 45
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
22 BTTS Yes 10
24 Over 1.5 20
20 Over 2.5 10
13 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Magallanes's more proactive style and Union San Felipe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Magallanes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 35 points compared to Union San Felipe in 14 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union San Felipe having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Union San Felipe. Magallanes come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Magallanes Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 35 points from 21 games, Magallanes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 37:35, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 21 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes won 7 times, Union San Felipe won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:9 from Magallanes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Magallanes 4-3-2-1 / Union San Felipe 4-5-1
H2H summary: Magallanes wins 7, draws 4, Union San Felipe wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W