CHILE PRIMERA B
16.05.2026 16:30
Estadio Santiago Bueras
Magallanes
Match Timeline
Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
A. Walters
Magallanes
🟨
26'
H. Salinas Flores
Magallanes
27'
A. Toledo
Magallanes
🟨
30'
F. Peraza
Magallanes
42'
F. Peraza
Magallanes
🔄
45+1'
H. Salinas Flores ↔ F. Yanez
Magallanes
🔄
46'
I. Lara ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta
🔄
46'
B. Provoste ↔ C. Gonzalez
Recoleta
55'
G. Guzman
Magallanes
🔄
59'
G. Alvarez ↔ M. Arguinarena
Recoleta
🔄
59'
C. Rodriguez ↔ D. Viveros
Recoleta
🟨
64'
C. Jorquera
Magallanes
🟨
67'
D. Viveros
Recoleta
🔄
70'
F. Baez ↔ F. Martin
Recoleta
🔄
75'
F. Peraza ↔ M. Alegre
Magallanes
80'
P. Sanchez
Recoleta
🔄
82'
G. Guzman ↔ B. Liuzzi
Magallanes
🔄
82'
R. Farfan ↔ M. Fredes
Magallanes
🔄
82'
C. Jorquera ↔ E. Neira
Magallanes
🟨
90'
M. Fredes
Magallanes
🟨
90+1'
J. Espinoza
Recoleta
🟨
90+6'
F. Yanez
Magallanes
90'
F. Martin
Recoleta

Magallanes vs Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Magallanes Win 28.6%
Draw 0%
Recoleta Win 71.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Magallanes1.43
Recoleta1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Magallanes Magallanes
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
WLDWL
21 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
11
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Magallanes Magallanes 14 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 13 matches
Magallanes Statistic Recoleta
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
7 Losses 5
19 Goals For 21
26 Goals Against 20
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
11 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Recoleta's more proactive style and Magallanes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Magallanes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control.

Magallanes Analysis

With 15 points from 11 games and a place of 8, Magallanes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 16:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Jorquera (3 goals), R. Farfan (3 goals), H. Salinas Flores (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta sit 6 with 19 points after 11 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 19:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Baez (3 goals), G. Estigarribia (3 goals), P. Sanchez (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes won 7 times, Recoleta won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:6 from Magallanes's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Magallanes 4-3-2-1 / Recoleta -
H2H summary: Magallanes wins 7, draws 1, Recoleta wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
4 24 10 8 6 41:24 17 38
D L W W D
5 23 10 8 5 36:28 8 38
W W L W D
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 24 10 5 9 31:31 0 35
L D L W W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 24 8 7 9 39:34 5 31
W L W L D
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W