CHILE PRIMERA B
22.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Santiago Bueras
Magallanes
Match Timeline
Deportes Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
6'
C. Jorquera ↔ E. Neira
Magallanes
🟨
28'
M. Sepulveda
Magallanes
🔄
46'
J. Gonzalez ↔ P. Brito
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
63'
A. Walters ↔ B. Liuzzi
Magallanes
🔄
63'
F. Yanez ↔ M. Fredes
Magallanes
🔄
67'
F. Orellana ↔ D. Acevedo
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
67'
D. Arias ↔ N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
71'
F. Peraza ↔ M. Alegre
Magallanes
🔄
71'
↔ S. Coronel
Magallanes
🔄
71'
D. Tati ↔ N. Guerrero
Deportes Santa Cruz
76'
M. Fredes
Magallanes
🔄
88'
G. Alucema ↔ I. Quiroz
Deportes Santa Cruz

Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.3%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Magallanes Win 48%
Draw 13.7%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Magallanes1.57
Deportes Santa Cruz1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Magallanes Magallanes
WWDLW
42 GF / 53 GA
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WLDWL
37 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
21
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Magallanes Magallanes 27 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 27 matches
Magallanes Statistic Deportes Santa Cruz
9 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
13 Losses 11
42 Goals For 37
53 Goals Against 43
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
21 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 21
19 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Magallanes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 29 points compared to Deportes Santa Cruz in 15 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportes Santa Cruz.

Magallanes Analysis

So far, Magallanes have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 29 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 33:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 16 points from 19 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 24:34, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes won 8 times, Deportes Santa Cruz won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Magallanes's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Magallanes 4-3-2-1 / Deportes Santa Cruz -
H2H summary: Magallanes wins 8, draws 3, Deportes Santa Cruz wins 4

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W