CHILE › PRIMERA B
03.10.2026 15:30
Estadio Santiago Bueras
Magallanes
Match Timeline
Curico Unido
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
G. Sarria
Curico Unido
🟨
36'
A. Walters
Magallanes
🔄
46'
M. Sepulveda ↔ F. Yanez
Magallanes
🔄
46'
M. Osorio ↔ J. Quiroz
Magallanes
🔄
56'
J. Alfaro ↔ W. Saez
Curico Unido
🔄
64'
E. Ormeno ↔ F. Gutierrez
Curico Unido
🔄
64'
N. Fernandez ↔ B. Inostroza
Curico Unido
⚽
66'
C. Jorquera
Magallanes
🔄
76'
M. Alegre ↔ F. Peraza
Magallanes
🔄
76'
A. Walters ↔ G. Guzman
Magallanes
🔄
76'
J. Retamales ↔ I. Aliaga
Curico Unido
🔄
76'
R. Guzman ↔ R. de La Fuente
Curico Unido
🟨
80'
W. Saez
Curico Unido
🟨
85'
F. Gutierrez
Curico Unido
🔄
87'
C. Jorquera ↔ S. Coronel
Magallanes
🟨
90+2'
J. Quiroz
Magallanes

Magallanes vs Curico Unido Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.88
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.9%
1.78 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.88 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Magallanes Win 77.9%
Draw 4.9%
Curico Unido Win 17.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Magallanes1.49
Curico Unido1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Magallanes Magallanes
WWDLW
47 GF / 56 GA
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WLDWL
33 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
23
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Magallanes Magallanes 32 matches
Curico Unido Curico Unido 34 matches
Magallanes Statistic Curico Unido
11 Wins 9
7 Draws 12
14 Losses 13
47 Goals For 33
56 Goals Against 52
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
23 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Magallanes's more proactive style and Curico Unido's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Curico Unido. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Curico Unido having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Magallanes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 40 points compared to Curico Unido in 13 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Magallanes Analysis

Magallanes come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 40 points from 25 matches. The record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 41:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Curico Unido Analysis

Curico Unido are currently 13 in the standings with 27 points from 25 matches. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 22:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes won 3 times, Curico Unido won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Magallanes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Magallanes 4-3-2-1 / Curico Unido -
H2H summary: Magallanes wins 3, draws 4, Curico Unido wins 2

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 12 9 4 43:27 16 45
W D L W L
2 25 12 8 5 40:26 14 44
L L W W W
3 25 12 8 5 39:29 10 44
W W W W L
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 9 7 9 37:39 -2 34
W D L L L
10 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
11 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 25 5 7 13 16:42 -26 22
L L D D L
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W