BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Conselheiro Galvao
Madureira
Match Timeline
Portuguesa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
84'
Caua Coutinho
Madureira

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Madureira Win 34.4%
Draw 0%
Portuguesa Win 65.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Madureira0.96
Portuguesa1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Madureira Madureira
WWDLW
6 GF / 8 GA
Portuguesa Portuguesa
WLDWL
8 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Madureira Madureira 5 matches
Portuguesa Portuguesa 5 matches
Madureira Statistic Portuguesa
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 0
6 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 3
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Portuguesa's more proactive style and Madureira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Portuguesa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 11 points while Madureira sit 5 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Portuguesa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Madureira have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Portuguesa having the stronger overall control.

Madureira Analysis

Madureira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 4 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Carlos (2 goals), Adriano (1 goals), Geovane Maranhao (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portuguesa Analysis

Portuguesa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 11 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 8:3, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Lohan (3 goals), Matheus Cadorini (2 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Madureira won 1 times, Portuguesa won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Madureira's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Madureira wins 1, draws 1, Portuguesa wins 4
Last matches: Madureira
06.06.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
1
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
Last matches: Portuguesa
18.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Uberlandia
0
2
L
11.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
H2H: Madureira vs Portuguesa
09.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
L
28.08.21
H2H
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
0
L
13.06.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
1
D
17.08.15
H2H
Portuguesa
Madureira
4
2
L
30.05.15
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
Last matches: Madureira
06.06.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Madureira
09.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
W
13.06.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
1
D
30.05.15
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
Last matches: Portuguesa
18.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Uberlandia
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
3
1
W
04.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
2
L
19.04.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
2
2
D
H2H away: Portuguesa
09.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
L
13.06.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
1
D
30.05.15
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)