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SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
17.10.2026 17:00
Gradski Stadion Sabac

Macva vs OFK Beograd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds 3.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
3.60 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.06 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.9%
1.02 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Macva Win 57.3%
Draw 8.1%
OFK Beograd Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macva1.31
OFK Beograd1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macva Macva
WWDLW
18 GF / 28 GA
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
WLDWL
19 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
11
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
2.18
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macva Macva 19 matches
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 19 matches
Macva Statistic OFK Beograd
4 Wins 4
6 Draws 5
9 Losses 10
18 Goals For 19
28 Goals Against 35
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 8
2.18 Shots On Goal 3.82
8.64 Total Shots 11.45
2.55 Corners 3.36
40.4% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macva expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and OFK Beograd in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward OFK Beograd having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. OFK Beograd arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward OFK Beograd. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Macva Analysis

Macva sit 13 with 8 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 6:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Vidakov (2 goals), Đorđe Đorđić (1 goals), N. Delibasic (1 goals), with creative support from S. Sladojević (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

OFK Beograd Analysis

OFK Beograd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 9 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 13:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Silue (6 goals), S. Peña (2 goals), T. De Barr (1 goals), with creative support from H. Aderoju (3 assists), S. Peña (1 assists), T. De Barr (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Macva won 3 times, OFK Beograd won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Macva's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Macva 4-2-3-1 / OFK Beograd 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Macva wins 3, draws 1, OFK Beograd wins 1

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 1 0 27:3 24 31
W W W W D
2 11 8 1 2 25:11 14 25
W D W W W
3 11 5 3 3 13:7 6 18
W D L D W
4 10 5 2 3 17:10 7 17
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
L W W D D
6 12 4 5 3 17:16 1 17
W L D D D
7 11 4 5 2 10:12 -2 17
D W L W L
8 11 3 4 4 10:12 -2 13
L D D W D
9 11 3 3 5 14:20 -6 12
D L D L L
10 10 3 2 5 18:19 -1 11
W D L L W
11 11 2 4 5 13:21 -8 10
D L L D L
12
Macva Home
11 2 3 6 8:19 -11 9
D L L D D
13 11 2 2 7 7:18 -11 8
L L L W L
14 11 0 3 8 6:22 -16 3
L D D L L
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