SERBIA SUPER LIGA
20.09.2026 15:00
Gradski Stadion Sabac

Macva vs Mladost Lucani Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52%
Odds 2.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52%
2.69
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.45
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.3%
1.01
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Macva Win 32.4%
Draw 15.6%
Mladost Lucani Win 52%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macva0.9
Mladost Lucani1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macva Macva
WWDLW
15 GF / 24 GA
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
WLDWL
21 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
9
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
6
1.78
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macva Macva 17 matches
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 18 matches
Macva Statistic Mladost Lucani
4 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
8 Losses 2
15 Goals For 21
24 Goals Against 17
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
9 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
1.78 Shots On Goal 3.33
8 Total Shots 9.67
2.22 Corners 3.44
36.9% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Mladost Lucani's more proactive style and Macva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mladost Lucani. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mladost Lucani carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Macva sit 11 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macva expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mladost Lucani in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mladost Lucani having the stronger overall control.

Macva Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Macva have collected 8 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 5:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Vidakov (2 goals), Đorđe Đorđić (1 goals), with creative support from S. Sladojević (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mladost Lucani Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 8 games, Mladost Lucani bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by N. Ćirković (1 goals), João (1 goals), Vasil Tasovski (1 goals), with creative support from A. Varjačić (2 assists), V. Kijevčanin (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Macva won 2 times, Mladost Lucani won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from Macva's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Macva 4-2-3-1 / Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
H2H summary: Macva wins 2, draws 1, Mladost Lucani wins 7

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:3 18 25
W W D W W
2 10 7 1 2 21:10 11 22
D W W W W
3 9 5 2 2 17:9 8 17
W W D D W
4 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
D L D W L
5 10 3 5 2 14:15 -1 14
D D D W L
6 10 3 4 3 10:11 -1 13
D D W D L
7 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
L W L W W
8 8 3 2 3 12:9 3 11
L W L W L
9 9 3 2 4 11:16 -5 11
D L L L W
10 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
L L D L W
11 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
D L L W L
12 8 2 2 4 6:8 -2 8
W L D L D
13
Macva Home
9 2 2 5 5:15 -10 8
L D D W L
14 10 0 3 7 6:19 -13 3
D D L L L
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