JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Machida GION Stadium
Referee: H. Shimizu
Machida Zelvia
Match Timeline
Tokyo Verdy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
I. Kumatoriya ↔ Y. Fukuda
Tokyo Verdy
🟨
63'
Yosuke Uchida
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
66'
Y. Matsuhashi ↔ Y. Arai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
76'
Erik ↔ K. Sento
Machida Zelvia
🔄
76'
T. Yengi ↔ S. Fujio
Machida Zelvia
🔄
77'
Y. Uchida ↔ R. Inoue
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
86'
R. Shirasaki ↔ H. Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
86'
F. Tokumura ↔ Y. Nakayama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
90'
K. Saito ↔ T. Inami
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
90'
K. Morita ↔ R. Hirakawa
Tokyo Verdy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Machida Zelvia Win 67%
Draw 15.6%
Tokyo Verdy Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Machida Zelvia1.51
Tokyo Verdy1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
9
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 18 matches
Machida Zelvia Statistic Tokyo Verdy
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 3
3 Losses 9
23 Goals For 21
21 Goals Against 29
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
3.8 Shots On Goal 3.13
11.8 Total Shots 10.13
4 Corners 4.27
43.8% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tokyo Verdy. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Machida Zelvia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Machida Zelvia Analysis

Machida Zelvia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 15 outings. With 11 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:20, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Erik (6 goals), Y. Soma (4 goals), Na Sang-Ho (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Soma (2 assists), Na Sang-Ho (2 assists), T. Yengi (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a 21:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), H. Yamamoto (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (2 assists), Y. Matsuhashi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia won 6 times, Tokyo Verdy won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Machida Zelvia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Machida Zelvia wins 6, draws 6, Tokyo Verdy wins 3
Stats
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 0
7 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
588 Total passes 360
494 Passes accurate 272
0.89 expected_goals 0.17
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Machida Zelvia
Formation
Tokyo Verdy
K. Tani
K. Tani
G. Shoji
G. Shoji
D. Okamura
D. Okamura
I. Dresevic
I. Dresevic
H. Nakamura
H. Nakamura
R. Shirasaki
R. Shirasaki
H. Mae
H. Mae
F. Tokumura
F. Tokumura
Erik
Erik
Na Sang-Ho
Na Sang-Ho
T. Yengi
T. Yengi
Matheus
Matheus
K. Suzuki
K. Suzuki
N. Hayashi
N. Hayashi
K. Miyahara
K. Miyahara
Y. Uchida
Y. Uchida
K. Saito
K. Saito
K. Morita
K. Morita
D. Fukazawa
D. Fukazawa
Y. Matsuhashi
Y. Matsuhashi
I. Kumatoriya
I. Kumatoriya
I. Someno
I. Someno
Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Tani
G
3
G. Shoji
D
50
D. Okamura
D
5
I. Dresevic
D
88
H. Nakamura
M
23
R. Shirasaki
↓ 86'
M
16
H. Mae
M
34
F. Tokumura
↓ 86'
M
27
Erik
↓ 76'
F
10
Na Sang-Ho
F
99
T. Yengi
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Morita
G
18
H. Shimoda
↑ 86'
M
19
Y. Nakayama
↑ 86'
D
24
Kim Min-Tae
D
11
A. Masuyama
M
8
K. Sento
↑ 76'
M
49
K. Kuwayama
F
9
S. Fujio
↑ 76'
F
26
K. Hayashi
D
Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Matheus
G
15
K. Suzuki
D
4
N. Hayashi
D
6
K. Miyahara
D
22
Y. Uchida
↓ 77' 🟨 63'
M
8
K. Saito
↓ 90'
M
10
K. Morita
↓ 90'
M
23
D. Fukazawa
M
7
Y. Matsuhashi
↓ 66'
F
25
I. Kumatoriya
↓ 46'
F
9
I. Someno
F
Substitutes
21
Y. Nagasawa
G
29
M. Sako
D
17
T. Inami
↑ 90'
M
5
R. Inoue
↑ 77'
D
16
R. Hirakawa
↑ 90'
M
14
Y. Fukuda
↑ 46'
M
45
S. Teranuma
F
24
S. Nakayama
M
40
Y. Arai
↑ 66'
M
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
06.06.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
22.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
0
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
21.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
06.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
W
15.01.26
Fri
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
06.06.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6
L
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
08.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Roasso Kumamoto
0
2
L
H2H: Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy
13.05.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
21.02.26
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
20.07.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
26.02.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
14.07.24
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
19.05.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
5
0
W
09.07.23
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
13.05.23
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
18.09.22
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
20.03.22
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
14.03.21
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
27.06.20
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
27.07.19
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
1
0
L
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
06.06.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
22.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
01.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
0
3
L
27.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
H2H at home: Machida Zelvia
13.05.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
26.02.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
5
0
W
09.07.23
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
18.09.22
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
14.03.21
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
H2H away: Tokyo Verdy
13.05.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
26.02.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
W
19.05.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
5
0
L
09.07.23
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
18.09.22
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
14.03.21
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
06.12.20
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
L

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)