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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Machida Zelvia
AET
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida GION Stadium
Referee: K. Takasaki
Machida Zelvia
Match Timeline
Nagoya Grampus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Gen Shoji
Machida Zelvia
🟨
17'
Yudai Kimura
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
55'
Erik
Machida Zelvia
🟨
58'
Hiroyuki Mae
Machida Zelvia
🔄
69'
S. Fujio ↔ Na Sang-Ho
Machida Zelvia
🔄
75'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ K. Nagai
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
75'
Y. Nogami ↔ T. Uchida
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
84'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
84'
Y. Kimura ↔ H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
84'
R. Izumi ↔ H. Suzuki
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
85'
Erik ↔ K. Kuwayama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
85'
G. Shoji ↔ I. Dresevic
Machida Zelvia
🟨
90+8'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🟥
90+8'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
90+3'
H. Nakamura ↔ H. Mochizuki
Machida Zelvia
🔄
90+3'
Y. Sato ↔ K. Mikuni
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
91'
R. Shirasaki ↔ H. Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
91'
D. Okamura ↔ B. Vasquez
Machida Zelvia
⚽
93'
K. Nagai · Assist: H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
95'
T. Morishima ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
100'
Y. Nakayama · Assist: K. Kuwayama
Machida Zelvia
⚽
113'
H. Shimoda · Assist: Y. Nakayama
Machida Zelvia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Machida Zelvia Win 66.7%
Draw 8.6%
Nagoya Grampus Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Machida Zelvia1.44
Nagoya Grampus1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WLDWL
33 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
13
3.89
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 20 matches
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 19 matches
Machida Zelvia Statistic Nagoya Grampus
8 Wins 8
9 Draws 6
3 Losses 5
27 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 30
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
3.89 Shots On Goal 4.79
11.95 Total Shots 13.47
4.05 Corners 5.05
44% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Machida Zelvia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1 / Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Machida Zelvia wins 6, draws 1, Nagoya Grampus wins 2
Stats
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 7
9 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
561 Total passes 586
471 Passes accurate 497
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Machida Zelvia
Formation
Nagoya Grampus
K. Tani
K. Tani
G. Shoji
↓
G. Shoji
D. Okamura
↓
D. Okamura
Y. Nakayama
⚽ 🎯
Y. Nakayama
H. Nakamura
↓
H. Nakamura
R. Shirasaki
↓
R. Shirasaki
H. Mae
H. Mae
K. Hayashi
K. Hayashi
Erik
↓
Erik
Y. Soma
Y. Soma
S. Fujio
↓
S. Fujio
D. Schmidt
D. Schmidt
Y. Nogami
↓
Y. Nogami
H. Fujii
H. Fujii
Y. Sato
↓
Y. Sato
Y. Asano
Y. Asano
T. Morishima
↓
T. Morishima
T. Takamine
T. Takamine
K. Nakayama
K. Nakayama
R. Izumi
↓
R. Izumi
Y. Kimura
↓
Y. Kimura
Y. Yamagishi
↓
Y. Yamagishi
Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Tani
G
3
G. Shoji
↓ 85' 🟨 1'
D
50
D. Okamura
↓ 91'
D
19
Y. Nakayama
⚽ 100' 🎯 113'
D
88
H. Nakamura
↓ 90+3'
M
23
R. Shirasaki
↓ 91'
M
16
H. Mae
🟨 58'
M
26
K. Hayashi
M
27
Erik
↓ 85' 🟨 55'
F
7
Y. Soma
F
9
S. Fujio
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Morita
G
18
H. Shimoda
⚽ 113' ↑ 91'
M
11
A. Masuyama
M
8
K. Sento
M
10
Na Sang-Ho
↑ 69'
F
39
B. Vasquez
↑ 91'
M
49
K. Kuwayama
🎯 100' ↑ 85'
F
5
I. Dresevic
↑ 85'
D
6
H. Mochizuki
↑ 90+3'
D
Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
D. Schmidt
G
2
Y. Nogami
↓ 75'
D
13
H. Fujii
D
3
Y. Sato
↓ 90+3'
D
9
Y. Asano
M
14
T. Morishima
↓ 95'
M
31
T. Takamine
🟨 84' 🟨 90+8' 🟥 90+8'
M
27
K. Nakayama
M
7
R. Izumi
↓ 84'
F
22
Y. Kimura
↓ 84' 🟨 17'
F
11
Y. Yamagishi
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
16
Y. Takeda
G
18
K. Nagai
⚽ 93' ↑ 75'
F
17
T. Uchida
↑ 75'
M
41
M. Ono
↑ 95'
M
20
K. Mikuni
↑ 90+3'
D
33
T. Kikuchi
M
19
H. Koda
🎯 93' ↑ 84'
M
30
S. Sugiura
F
32
H. Suzuki
↑ 84'
M
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
30.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
22.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
13.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
0
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
21.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
06.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
W
15.01.26
Fri
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
5
1
W
01.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
08.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
W
H2H: Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
06.06.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
30.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
30.11.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
02.03.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
1
2
W
06.07.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
16.08.17
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3
4
L
17.05.17
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
1
L
09.09.15
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
22.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
06.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
01.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
0
3
L
27.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
H2H at home: Machida Zelvia
06.06.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
06.07.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
1
0
W
16.08.17
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3
4
L
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
5
1
W
01.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
15.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
H2H away: Nagoya Grampus
06.06.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
L
30.11.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
L
06.07.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
1
0
L
16.08.17
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3
4
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Kashima
18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2
FC Tokyo
18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3
Machida Zelvia Home
18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4
Kawasaki Frontale
18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5
Tokyo Verdy
18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7
Yokohama F. Marinos
18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8
Kashiwa Reysol
18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9
Mito Hollyhock
18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10
JEF United Chiba
18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)