ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Oswaldo Contreras, Ecuador
Macara
Match Timeline
Orense SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Jordán Mohor
Macara
🟨
14'
Beder Caicedo
Orense SC
22'
A. Mena · Assist: E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
Orense SC
🔄
46'
J. Estacio ↔ M. Tello
Macara
🟨
51'
Pedro Velasco
Orense SC
🟨
52'
Óscar Quiñónez
Orense SC
53'
F. Paz
Macara
🟨
64'
Federico Paz
Macara
🔄
65'
T. Chamba ↔ M. Miranda
Macara
🔄
65'
F. Paz ↔ M. Viera
Macara
🔄
65'
S. Etchebarne ↔ J. Jimenez
Macara
🔄
72'
V. Burgoa ↔ P. Charpentier
Orense SC
🟨
84'
Renny Jaramillo
Orense SC
🔄
84'
A. Mena ↔ D. Armas
Orense SC
🔄
85'
J. Klinger ↔ F. Posse
Macara
🔄
89'
S. Vasquez ↔ E. Pluas
Orense SC
🔄
89'
A. Herrera ↔ M. Bermudez
Orense SC
90'
M. Bermudez · Assist: E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
Orense SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Macara Win 70.7%
Draw 4.9%
Orense SC Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara1.23
Orense SC1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macara Macara
WWDLW
14 GF / 14 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
5.09
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara Macara 13 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 11 matches
Macara Statistic Orense SC
4 Wins 3
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
14 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 16
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
6 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
5.09 Shots On Goal 3.82
13.09 Total Shots 9.82
4.73 Corners 3.36
49.7% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Macara's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Macara have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orense SC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Macara Analysis

With 16 points from 11 games and a place of 7, Macara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 12:10, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Franco Posse (4 goals), F. Paz (2 goals), M. Tello (2 goals), with creative support from F. Paz (2 assists), J. Klinger (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC are currently 11 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustin Herrera (5 goals), E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (2 goals), S. Vasquez (2 goals), with creative support from P. Velasco (2 assists), V. Burgoa (2 assists), E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 5 times, Orense SC won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Macara's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Macara 4-2-3-1 / Orense SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Macara wins 5, draws 2, Orense SC wins 5
Stats
Macara Macara
Orense SC Orense SC
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
0
11 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 5
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 4
11 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 6
12 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
479 Total passes 303
408 Passes accurate 242
1.45 expected_goals 2.48
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Macara
Formation
Orense SC
D. Cuero
D. Cuero
T. Espinoza
T. Espinoza
S. Etchebarne
S. Etchebarne
M. Medranda
M. Medranda
J. Mohor
J. Mohor
J. Estacio
J. Estacio
G. Blanc
G. Blanc
F. Paz
F. Paz
T. Chamba
T. Chamba
J. Klinger
J. Klinger
L. Ferro
L. Ferro
R. Silva
R. Silva
P. Velasco
P. Velasco
A. Lorenzo
A. Lorenzo
O. Quinonez
O. Quinonez
B. Caicedo
B. Caicedo
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
🎯
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
S. Vasquez
S. Vasquez
R. Jaramilo
R. Jaramilo
V. Burgoa
V. Burgoa
A. Mena
A. Mena
A. Herrera
A. Herrera
Macara 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
D. Cuero
G
11
T. Espinoza
D
21
S. Etchebarne
↓ 65'
D
26
M. Medranda
D
27
J. Mohor
🟨 5'
D
5
J. Estacio
↓ 46'
M
8
G. Blanc
M
7
F. Paz
⚽ 53' ↓ 65' 🟨 64'
M
30
T. Chamba
↓ 65'
M
87
J. Klinger
↓ 85'
M
22
L. Ferro
F
Substitutes
1
R. Rodriguez
G
16
J. Cazares
M
10
M. Miranda
↑ 65'
M
25
D. Bolanos
M
20
M. Viera
↑ 65'
M
13
M. Ayala
D
14
J. Marrufo
D
4
J. Jimenez
↑ 65'
D
9
F. Posse
↑ 85'
F
17
J. Zambrano
M
15
M. Tello
↑ 46'
M
3
J. Espinoza
D
Orense SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
R. Silva
G
31
P. Velasco
🟨 51'
D
5
A. Lorenzo
D
45
O. Quinonez
🟨 52'
D
15
B. Caicedo
🟨 14'
D
54
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
🎯 22' 🎯 90'
M
7
S. Vasquez
↓ 89'
M
25
R. Jaramilo
🟨 84'
M
10
V. Burgoa
↓ 72'
M
13
A. Mena
⚽ 22' ↓ 84'
F
11
A. Herrera
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Ortiz
G
21
G. Rostagno
M
17
E. Caicedo
F
9
P. Charpentier
↑ 72'
F
8
D. Armas
↑ 84'
M
77
B. Vinan
D
14
E. Pluas
↑ 89'
M
4
S. Quinonez
D
19
M. Bermudez
⚽ 90' ↑ 89'
51
C. Ortiz
50
E. Hernandez
M
53
L. Garces
F
Last matches: Macara
11.07.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Macara
Manta FC
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Macara
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
Last matches: Orense SC
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
H2H: Macara vs Orense SC
03.05.26
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
06.03.26
H2H
Orense SC
Macara
0
1
W
17.06.25
H2H
Orense SC
Macara
1
0
L
16.02.25
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
Orense SC
Macara
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Orense SC
Macara
1
1
D
01.03.22
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
L
17.04.21
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
W
14.11.20
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
0
1
L
14.09.20
H2H
Orense SC
Macara
1
2
W
Last matches: Macara
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
H2H at home: Macara
03.05.26
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
16.02.25
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
0
0
D
01.03.22
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
W
17.04.21
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
W
14.11.20
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
0
1
L
Last matches: Orense SC
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
H2H away: Orense SC
03.05.26
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
W
16.02.25
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
0
0
D
01.03.22
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
L
17.04.21
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
1
0
L
14.11.20
H2H
Macara
Orense SC
0
1
W

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 1 3 40:19 21 43
W W W L W
2 18 9 5 4 21:16 5 32
W W D W L
3 18 8 6 4 20:13 7 30
D W L W W
4 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
D L W D W
5 18 8 3 7 18:20 -2 27
L L W D W
6 18 7 5 6 28:18 10 26
L L L W D
7 18 7 5 6 18:18 0 26
W W D L L
8 18 7 2 9 19:19 0 23
L W W W L
9 18 6 5 7 19:19 0 23
W W D L W
10 18 6 5 7 22:24 -2 23
D L L L W
11 18 6 4 8 16:21 -5 22
W L L D L
12 18 6 6 6 14:17 -3 21
D D W W D
13 18 5 6 7 23:27 -4 21
L W D D L
14 18 4 6 8 17:25 -8 18
D L L W L
15 18 4 5 9 10:18 -8 17
L D L L D
16 18 3 4 11 7:23 -16 13
D L W L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs