Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macara
20 matches
Mushuc Runa SC
18 matches
| Macara | Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 20 | Goals For | 23 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 12.22 | Total Shots | 12.56 |
| 4.94 | Corners | 4.39 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 47.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Mushuc Runa SC.
Macara sit 8 with 23 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 16:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Franco Posse (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Jose Klinger (3 assists), Federico Paz (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mushuc Runa SC are currently 10 in the standings with 21 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (4 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Renato Ibarra (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 3 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Macara's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Macara
4
2
4
6
1
2
Lineups
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Macara
Home
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 41 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:21 | 18 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 35 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23:20 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Away
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 20:32 | -12 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15:24 | -9 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 11:30 | -19 | 17 |
W
L
L
D
L
|