Macara vs Emelec Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.1%
|
1.96 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.29 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.6%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Macara
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macara
31 matches
Emelec
29 matches
| Macara | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 42 | Goals For | 25 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.86 | Shots On Goal | 3.28 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 10.52 |
| 4.59 | Corners | 4.28 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 44.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Macara's more proactive style and Emelec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Emelec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Emelec in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emelec having the stronger overall control. Macara arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 48 points compared to Emelec in 12 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Macara arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 48 points after 29 matches. The record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 40:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Posse (9 goals), A. Campana (7 goals), M. Tello (3 goals), with creative support from F. Posse (4 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), J. Klinger (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Emelec have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 33 points from 28 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 24:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Klimowicz (6 goals), J. Ruíz (3 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), with creative support from Luis Fragozo (3 assists), F. Pizzini (3 assists), A. Mina (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 4 times, Emelec won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Macara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Macara
Home
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Emelec
Away
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|