ECUADOR LIGA PRO
22.07.2026 19:00
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Eloy Vicente Beltran Moreira, Ecuador
Macara
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cuenca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
F. Posse · Assist: M. Ayala
Macara
🟨
17'
Germán Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
VAR
17'
Germán Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
31'
Gian Nardelli
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
G. Rivero ↔ M. Klimowicz
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
52'
Gian Nardelli
Deportivo Cuenca
🟥
52'
Gian Nardelli
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
55'
L. Mancinelli ↔ M. Piedra
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
60'
Facundo Ferrero
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
64'
J. Klinger ↔ J. Mohor
Macara
🔄
64'
M. Tello ↔ J. Estacio
Macara
🟨
67'
Santiago Etchebarne
Macara
🟨
67'
Marlon Medranda
Macara
🔄
69'
D. Bolanos ↔ J. Espinoza
Macara
🔄
69'
A. Lopez ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
69'
M. Maccari ↔ R. Ibarra
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
78'
D. Gonzalez ↔ J. Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
79'
F. Posse · Assist: M. Miranda
Macara
🔄
81'
F. Posse ↔ L. Ferro
Macara
🔄
81'
A. I. Campana ↔ J. Chala
Macara
82'
J. Mohor · Assist: M. Miranda
Macara

Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.7%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Macara Win 44%
Draw 19.6%
Deportivo Cuenca Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara1.09
Deportivo Cuenca1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macara Macara
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
10
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
7
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara Macara 22 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 22 matches
Macara Statistic Deportivo Cuenca
8 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
9 Losses 8
23 Goals For 23
25 Goals Against 25
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.9
11.9 Total Shots 12.55
4.85 Corners 4.25
49.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Macara's more proactive style and Deportivo Cuenca's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportivo Cuenca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Cuenca. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Macara Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 29 points from 19 games, Macara bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 20:19, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Franco Posse (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Jose Klinger (3 assists), Federico Paz (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Deportivo Cuenca have collected 27 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, while the 18:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 5 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Macara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Macara 4-3-3 / Deportivo Cuenca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Macara wins 5, draws 5, Deportivo Cuenca wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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