Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lyon Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon1
Marseille2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lyon
WWDLW
4 GF / 8 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
12 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
3
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lyon
4 matches
Marseille
4 matches
| Lyon | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 4 | Goals For | 12 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 5 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Lyon's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lyon 4-3-3 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lyon wins 5, draws 2, Marseille wins 7
Last matches: Lyon
26.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
22.08.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
2
0
W
18.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
11.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
3
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Real Betis
0
4
L
24.07.26
Fri
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Servette FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Mâcon
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
W
19.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Angers
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
H2H: Lyon vs Marseille
01.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
L
31.08.25
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
W
02.02.25
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
L
22.09.24
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
2
3
L
04.02.24
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
W
06.12.23
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
3
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
2
L
06.11.22
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
1
0
L
01.05.22
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
0
3
W
01.02.22
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
2
1
W
28.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
1
1
D
04.10.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
1
D
19.04.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
0
0
D
12.02.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
W
10.11.19
H2H
Marseille
Lyon
2
1
L
Last matches: Lyon
26.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
11.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
3
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Servette FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Mâcon
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris FC
1
1
D
05.03.26
Cou
Lyon
Lens
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Nice
2
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lyon
Laval
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Lille
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Lyon
PAOK
4
2
W
18.01.26
Lig
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
21.12.25
Cou
Lyon
Saint-Cyr Collonges
3
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Lyon
Le Havre
1
0
W
H2H at home: Lyon
31.08.25
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
2
3
L
04.02.24
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
W
23.04.23
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
2
L
01.02.22
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
2
1
W
04.10.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
1
D
19.04.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
0
0
D
12.02.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Marseille
31.08.25
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
2
3
W
04.02.24
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
2
W
01.02.22
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
2
1
L
04.10.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
1
D
19.04.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
0
0
D
12.02.20
H2H
Lyon
Marseille
1
0
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
Home
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation