FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Referee: R. Buquet
Lyon
Match Timeline
Auxerre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
R. Yaremchuk · Assist: Abner Vinicius
Lyon
🔄
34'
O. Mangala ↔ T. Tessmann
Lyon
35'
S. Diomande
Auxerre
🟨
52'
Danny Namaso
Auxerre
🔄
58'
K. Merah ↔ C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
58'
T. Morton ↔ P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
59'
M. Senaya ↔ L. Sy
Auxerre
🔄
59'
F. Oppegard ↔ C. Akpa
Auxerre
66'
C. Tolisso · Assist: A. Maitland-Niles
Lyon
71'
R. Yaremchuk · Assist: C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
75'
L. Sinayoko ↔ J. Casimir
Auxerre
🔄
75'
R. Faivre ↔ N. Ahamada
Auxerre
🔄
75'
D. Namaso ↔ S. Mara
Auxerre
🔄
77'
R. Yaremchuk ↔ N. Tagliafico
Lyon
🔄
77'
Endrick ↔ R. Kluivert
Lyon
🟨
84'
Gideon Mensah
Auxerre
88'
B. Okoh · Assist: S. Diomande
Auxerre
🟨
89'
Ruben Kluivert
Lyon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Lyon Win 54.5%
Draw 20%
Auxerre Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon1.52
Auxerre0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lyon Lyon
WWDLW
73 GF / 41 GA
Auxerre Auxerre
WLDWL
26 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
19
BTTS Yes
12
21
Over 2.5
13
4.91
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lyon Lyon 44 matches
Auxerre Auxerre 31 matches
Lyon Statistic Auxerre
26 Wins 5
8 Draws 10
10 Losses 16
73 Goals For 26
41 Goals Against 41
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
19 BTTS Yes 12
30 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 7
22 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 16
4.91 Shots On Goal 3.39
12.86 Total Shots 10.74
5.32 Corners 4.84
56.7% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lyon's more proactive style and Auxerre's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lyon arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 54 points compared to Auxerre in 16 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre.

Lyon Analysis

Placed 4 with 54 points from 30 outings, Lyon continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 43:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Sulc (11 goals), C. Tolisso (8 goals), Endrick (4 goals), with creative support from Afonso Moreira (7 assists), Endrick (6 assists), P. Sulc (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Fofana, R. Himbert, N. Kamara unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Auxerre Analysis

Auxerre sit 16 with 25 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 23:37, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through L. Sinayoko (8 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), Kévin Danois (3 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (3 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), I. Osman (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Buayi-Kiala, O. El Azzouzi, D. Leon unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 5 times, Auxerre won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Lyon's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Lyon 4-2-3-1 / Auxerre 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lyon 4, Auxerre 3
H2H summary: Lyon wins 5, draws 3, Auxerre wins 2
Stats
Lyon Lyon
Auxerre Auxerre
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 2
2 Shots outsidebox 7
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
437 Total passes 373
366 Passes accurate 315
2.12 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lyon
Formation
Auxerre
D. Greif
D. Greif
A. Maitland-Niles
🎯
A. Maitland-Niles
C. Mata
C. Mata
M. Niakhate
M. Niakhate
Abner Vinicius
🎯
Abner Vinicius
T. Morton
T. Morton
O. Mangala
O. Mangala
Endrick
Endrick
K. Merah
K. Merah
A. Moreira
A. Moreira
R. Yaremchuk
⚽ 2
R. Yaremchuk
T. De Percin
T. De Percin
M. Senaya
M. Senaya
S. Diomande
🎯
S. Diomande
B. Okoh
B. Okoh
G. Mensah
G. Mensah
E. Owusu
E. Owusu
K. Danois
K. Danois
R. Faivre
R. Faivre
D. Namaso
D. Namaso
F. Oppegard
F. Oppegard
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
Lyon 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Greif
G
98
A. Maitland-Niles
🎯 66'
D
22
C. Mata
D
19
M. Niakhate
D
16
Abner Vinicius
🎯 19'
D
23
T. Morton
↓ 58'
M
5
O. Mangala
↓ 34'
M
9
Endrick
↓ 77'
M
44
K. Merah
↓ 58'
M
17
A. Moreira
M
77
R. Yaremchuk
⚽ 19' ⚽ 71' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
40
R. Descamps
G
18
R. Ghezzal
F
8
C. Tolisso
⚽ 66' 🎯 71' ↑ 58'
M
33
H. Hateboer
D
6
T. Tessmann
↑ 34'
M
3
N. Tagliafico
↑ 77'
D
10
P. Sulc
↑ 58'
M
21
R. Kluivert
↑ 77' 🟨 89'
D
99
N. Nartey
M
Auxerre 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
T. De Percin
G
29
M. Senaya
↓ 59'
D
20
S. Diomande
⚽ 35' 🎯 88'
D
24
B. Okoh
⚽ 88'
D
14
G. Mensah
🟨 84'
D
42
E. Owusu
M
5
K. Danois
M
28
R. Faivre
↓ 75'
M
19
D. Namaso
↓ 75' 🟨 52'
M
22
F. Oppegard
↓ 59'
M
10
L. Sinayoko
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
30
T. Negrel
G
18
A. Diousse
M
4
F. Sierralta
D
7
J. Casimir
↑ 75'
F
21
L. Coulibaly
M
27
L. Sy
↑ 59'
D
8
N. Ahamada
↑ 75'
M
92
C. Akpa
↑ 59'
D
9
S. Mara
↑ 75'
F
Last matches: Lyon
11.07.26
Fri
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Mâcon
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
19.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Angers
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Le Havre
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris FC
1
1
D
05.03.26
Cou
Lyon
Lens
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Marseille
2
3
L
22.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Strasbourg
1
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Nice
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Nantes
1
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lyon
Laval
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Lille
1
0
W
Last matches: Auxerre
17.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Angers
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Monaco
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lorient
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Toulouse
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
21.12.25
Cou
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
3
4
L
07.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
H2H: Lyon vs Auxerre
25.04.26
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
W
23.11.25
H2H
Auxerre
Lyon
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Auxerre
Lyon
1
3
W
27.10.24
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
2
D
17.02.23
H2H
Auxerre
Lyon
2
1
L
31.08.22
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
1
W
07.04.12
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
1
W
27.11.11
H2H
Auxerre
Lyon
0
3
W
11.05.11
H2H
Auxerre
Lyon
4
0
L
22.12.10
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
1
1
D
Last matches: Lyon
11.07.26
Fri
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Mâcon
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris FC
1
1
D
05.03.26
Cou
Lyon
Lens
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Nice
2
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lyon
Laval
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Lille
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Lyon
PAOK
4
2
W
18.01.26
Lig
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
21.12.25
Cou
Lyon
Saint-Cyr Collonges
3
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Lyon
Le Havre
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Lyon
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
Lyon
Nantes
3
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
3
L
26.10.25
Lig
Lyon
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H at home: Lyon
25.04.26
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
W
27.10.24
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
2
D
31.08.22
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
1
W
07.04.12
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
1
W
22.12.10
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
1
1
D
Last matches: Auxerre
17.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
2
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Monaco
2
2
D
05.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lorient
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Toulouse
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
29.11.25
Lig
Auxerre
Paris FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Auxerre
Angers
0
2
L
29.10.25
Lig
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
3
L
19.10.25
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
2
2
D
27.09.25
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
30.08.25
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
0
1
L
23.08.25
Lig
Auxerre
Nice
1
3
L
17.05.25
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
27.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
4
0
W
20.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
1
3
L
06.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
1
0
W
H2H away: Auxerre
25.04.26
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
L
27.10.24
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
2
D
31.08.22
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
1
L
07.04.12
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
2
1
L
22.12.10
H2H
Lyon
Auxerre
1
1
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon Home
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Lyon 4 missing
-
M. Fofana
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
R. Himbert
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
N. Kamara
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
E. Nuamah
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Auxerre 3 missing
-
N. Buayi-Kiala
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. El Azzouzi
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Leon
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT