Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.2%
|
- |
Lyon
Auxerre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lyon
44 matches
Auxerre
31 matches
| Lyon | Statistic | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 16 |
| 73 | Goals For | 26 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.91 | Shots On Goal | 3.39 |
| 12.86 | Total Shots | 10.74 |
| 5.32 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 43.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lyon's more proactive style and Auxerre's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lyon arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 54 points compared to Auxerre in 16 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre.
Placed 4 with 54 points from 30 outings, Lyon continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 43:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Sulc (11 goals), C. Tolisso (8 goals), Endrick (4 goals), with creative support from Afonso Moreira (7 assists), Endrick (6 assists), P. Sulc (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Fofana, R. Himbert, N. Kamara unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Auxerre sit 16 with 25 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 23:37, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through L. Sinayoko (8 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), Kévin Danois (3 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (3 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), I. Osman (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Buayi-Kiala, O. El Azzouzi, D. Leon unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 5 times, Auxerre won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Lyon's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.
Lyon
6
2
5
2
1
5
Lineups
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
Mâcon
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon
Rennes
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Laval
Lyon
Lille
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
Angers
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Nantes
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Marseille
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Lorient
Auxerre
Rennes
Auxerre
Metz
Auxerre
Paris FC
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Metz
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
Mâcon
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Rennes
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Laval
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
PAOK
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Saint-Cyr Collonges
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
GO Ahead Eagles
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Marseille
Auxerre
Lorient
Auxerre
Metz
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Paris FC
Auxerre
Angers
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Rennes
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Nantes
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Rennes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lyon
Home
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Auxerre
Away
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|