BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Passo das Emas
Luverdense
Match Timeline
Gama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Willian Junior
Gama
41'
Pedro Bortoluzo
Luverdense
66'
Lucio
Gama
🟥
87'
Gama
Gama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Luverdense Win 35.6%
Draw 14.1%
Gama Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luverdense0.56
Gama1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luverdense Luverdense
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Gama Gama
WLDWL
10 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.2
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luverdense Luverdense 5 matches
Gama Gama 5 matches
Luverdense Statistic Gama
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
4 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 1
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.2
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Gama's more proactive style and Luverdense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gama having the stronger overall control. Gama carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Luverdense sit 2 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gama. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gama look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Luverdense Analysis

Luverdense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 8 points after 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 4:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Bady (1 goals), D. Cruz (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gama Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 13 points from 5 games, Gama bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:1 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Felipe Clemente (4 goals), Ramon (3 goals), David (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Luverdense won 0 times, Gama won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Luverdense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Luverdense wins 0, draws 0, Gama wins 2
Last matches: Luverdense
18.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
ABC
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goiânia
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goianésia
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Mixto
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
0
1
L
Last matches: Gama
19.07.26
Ser
Gama
America-RN
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
H2H: Luverdense vs Gama
09.05.26
H2H
Luverdense
Gama
1
2
L
02.05.26
H2H
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
L
Last matches: Luverdense
18.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
ABC
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
0
0
D
02.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goiânia
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Mixto
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Porto Velho
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
2
2
D
26.04.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goianésia
1
0
W
H2H at home: Luverdense
09.05.26
H2H
Luverdense
Gama
1
2
L
Last matches: Gama
19.07.26
Ser
Gama
America-RN
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
H2H away: Gama
09.05.26
H2H
Luverdense
Gama
1
2
W

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Away
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)