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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
2 - 1
Stevenage
Kenilworth Road
Referee: Simon Mather, England
Luton
Match Timeline
Stevenage
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Nigel Cello Lonwijk
Luton
🔄
46'
L. Fanne ↔ S. Morris
Luton
⚽
53'
L. Freestone
Stevenage
⚽
55'
J. Clark
Luton
🔄
62'
E. Lawrence ↔ C. Bramall
Luton
⚽
64'
G. Kodua · Assist: N. Wells
Luton
🟨
69'
Jordan Roberts
Stevenage
🔄
70'
D. Phillips ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage
🔄
70'
P. Patterson ↔ C. Campbell
Stevenage
🔄
70'
H. White ↔ L. Thompson
Stevenage
🔄
77'
N. Wells ↔ J. Yates
Luton
🔄
84'
D. Kemp ↔ J. Malcolm
Stevenage
🟨
90'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🔄
90+3'
G. Kodua ↔ G. Saville
Luton
🔄
90+1'
J. Roberts ↔ D. Sweeney
Stevenage

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stevenage Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.23
Stevenage1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
39 GF / 34 GA
Stevenage Stevenage
WLDWL
26 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
11
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
7
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 26 matches
Stevenage Stevenage 23 matches
Luton Statistic Stevenage
11 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 6
39 Goals For 26
34 Goals Against 19
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
11 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 12
14 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 8
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.14
11.5 Total Shots 8.86
5.96 Corners 4.5
55.2% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 4 times, Stevenage won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Luton's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Stevenage 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 4, draws 3, Stevenage wins 4
Stats
Luton Luton
Stevenage Stevenage
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 7
8 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 3
0 Shots off Goal 7
8 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 11
8 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
424 Total passes 309
311 Passes accurate 182
1.78 expected_goals 1.74
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Stevenage
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
N. Lonwijk
N. Lonwijk
M. Andersen
M. Andersen
C. Makosso
C. Makosso
J. Johnson
J. Johnson
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
L. Fanne
↓
L. Fanne
G. Kodua
⚽ ↓
G. Kodua
J. Clark
⚽
J. Clark
E. Lawrence
↓
E. Lawrence
N. Wells
🎯 ↓
N. Wells
F. Marschall
F. Marschall
L. James-Wildin
L. James-Wildin
C. Goode
C. Goode
C. Piergianni
C. Piergianni
L. Freestone
⚽
L. Freestone
D. Phillips
↓
D. Phillips
H. White
↓
H. White
J. Roberts
↓
J. Roberts
D. Kemp
↓
D. Kemp
P. Patterson
↓
P. Patterson
J. Reid
J. Reid
Luton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
17
N. Lonwijk
🟨 22'
D
5
M. Andersen
D
28
C. Makosso
D
38
J. Johnson
D
8
L. Walsh
M
22
L. Fanne
↓ 46'
M
30
G. Kodua
⚽ 64' ↓ 90+3'
M
18
J. Clark
⚽ 55'
M
32
E. Lawrence
↓ 62'
M
21
N. Wells
🎯 64' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
2
R. Walters
D
9
J. Yates
↑ 77'
F
14
S. Morris
↑ 46'
F
23
G. Saville
↑ 90+3'
M
33
C. Bramall
↑ 62'
D
37
Z. Nelson
M
Stevenage 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
F. Marschall
G
2
L. James-Wildin
D
15
C. Goode
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
16
L. Freestone
⚽ 53' 🟨 90'
D
8
D. Phillips
↓ 70'
M
18
H. White
↓ 70'
M
11
J. Roberts
↓ 90+1' 🟨 69'
M
10
D. Kemp
↓ 84'
M
44
P. Patterson
↓ 70'
M
19
J. Reid
F
Substitutes
13
T. Ashby-Hammond
G
4
J. Houghton
↑ 70'
M
6
D. Sweeney
↑ 90+1'
D
17
J. Pattenden
D
20
C. Campbell
↑ 70'
M
23
L. Thompson
↑ 70'
M
24
J. Malcolm
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
Last matches: Stevenage
01.08.26
Fri
Stevenage
Colchester
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
Millwall
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
West Ham
0
5
L
18.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
FC Andorra
0
0
D
13.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
0
2
L
09.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Wigan
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Doncaster
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Barnsley
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Lincoln
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bolton
1
5
L
11.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bradford
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Blackpool
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Rotherham
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Reading
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Plymouth
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Burton Albion
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
2
1
W
H2H: Luton vs Stevenage
10.01.26
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
0
L
10.08.21
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
2
D
10.02.18
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
1
D
14.10.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
7
1
W
11.03.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
2
L
20.08.16
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
1
L
02.04.16
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.11.15
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
0
0
D
02.05.15
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
0
W
04.10.14
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
2
W
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
10.01.26
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
14.10.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
7
1
W
11.03.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
2
L
02.04.16
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
1
L
02.05.15
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
0
W
Last matches: Stevenage
18.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
FC Andorra
0
0
D
13.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Doncaster
1
1
D
14.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bolton
1
5
L
11.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bradford
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Rotherham
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Plymouth
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Burton Albion
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Stevenage
Wycombe
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Stevenage
Northampton
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Stevenage
Barnsley
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Stevenage
Exeter City
0
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Stevenage
Cardiff
1
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
3
1
W
29.11.25
Lea
Stevenage
Wigan
0
0
D
25.11.25
Lea
Stevenage
Peterborough
1
0
W
06.11.25
Lea
Stevenage
Reading
0
1
L
18.10.25
Lea
Stevenage
Lincoln
0
1
L
27.09.25
Lea
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
3
2
W
H2H away: Stevenage
10.01.26
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
L
14.10.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
7
1
L
11.03.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
2
W
02.04.16
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
1
W
02.05.15
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
0
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage Away
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two