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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
2 - 3
Reading
Kenilworth Road
Referee: O. Mackey
Luton
Match Timeline
Reading
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Reading
🟨
21'
Liam Fraser
Reading
🟨
44'
Paudie O’Connor
Reading
⚽
45'
N. Lonwijk · Assist: E. Lawrence
Luton
⚽
53'
G. Saville · Assist: J. Clark
Luton
🔄
61'
L. Fraser ↔ S. Patton
Reading
🔄
66'
D. Cole ↔ N. Wells
Luton
🔄
66'
J. Richards ↔ L. Walsh
Luton
🟨
70'
Jordan Clark
Luton
🔄
72'
K. Doyle ↔ P. Lane
Reading
🔄
72'
A. Yiadom ↔ M. Ritchie
Reading
🔄
78'
E. Lawrence ↔ C. Bramall
Luton
🔄
78'
K. Palmer ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🟨
80'
Derrick Williams
Reading
⚽
81'
K. Ehibhatiomhan · Assist: M. Ritchie
Reading
⚽
84'
K. Ehibhatiomhan · Assist: M. Ritchie
Reading
🔄
88'
I. Jones ↔ S. Morris
Luton
🟨
90+1'
Joel Pereira
Reading
🔄
90+4'
K. Ehibhatiomhan ↔ F. Burns
Reading

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Reading Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.35
Reading1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
49 GF / 46 GA
Reading Reading
WLDWL
52 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
17
BTTS Yes
25
18
Over 2.5
17
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 36 matches
Reading Reading 35 matches
Luton Statistic Reading
14 Wins 13
9 Draws 12
13 Losses 10
49 Goals For 52
46 Goals Against 47
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
17 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 31
18 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.8
11.67 Total Shots 11.09
5.67 Corners 3.91
55.4% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 4 times, Reading won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from Luton's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Reading 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 4, draws 3, Reading wins 5
Stats
Luton Luton
Reading Reading
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
3
10 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 1
10 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
416 Total passes 342
336 Passes accurate 266
1.83 expected_goals 1.98
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Reading
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
I. Jones
↓
I. Jones
N. Lonwijk
⚽
N. Lonwijk
K. Naismith
K. Naismith
J. Johnson
J. Johnson
J. Clark
🎯
J. Clark
G. Saville
⚽
G. Saville
J. Richards
↓
J. Richards
K. Palmer
↓
K. Palmer
E. Lawrence
🎯 ↓
E. Lawrence
D. Cole
↓
D. Cole
J. Pereira
J. Pereira
A. Yiadom
↓
A. Yiadom
P. O'Connor
P. O'Connor
D. Williams
D. Williams
B. Ward
B. Ward
L. Wing
L. Wing
L. Fraser
↓
L. Fraser
K. Doyle
↓
K. Doyle
C. Savage
C. Savage
R. Williams
R. Williams
K. Ehibhatiomhan
⚽ 3 ↓
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Luton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
25
I. Jones
↓ 88'
D
17
N. Lonwijk
⚽ 45'
D
3
K. Naismith
D
38
J. Johnson
D
18
J. Clark
🎯 53' 🟨 70'
M
23
G. Saville
⚽ 53'
M
27
J. Richards
↓ 66'
M
54
K. Palmer
↓ 78'
M
32
E. Lawrence
🎯 45' ↓ 78'
M
22
D. Cole
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
16
H. Odoffin
D
33
C. Bramall
↑ 78'
D
14
S. Morris
↑ 88'
F
21
N. Wells
↑ 66'
F
8
L. Walsh
↑ 66'
M
30
G. Kodua
↑ 78'
F
Reading 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pereira
🟨 90+1'
G
17
A. Yiadom
↓ 72'
D
15
P. O'Connor
🟨 44'
D
33
D. Williams
🟨 80'
D
16
B. Ward
D
10
L. Wing
M
6
L. Fraser
↓ 61' 🟨 21'
M
29
K. Doyle
↓ 72'
M
8
C. Savage
M
21
R. Williams
M
9
K. Ehibhatiomhan
⚽ 5' ⚽ 81' ⚽ 84' ↓ 90+4'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Stevens
G
32
P. Lane
↑ 72'
F
12
F. Burns
↑ 90+4'
D
3
J. R. Dorsett A.
D
2
K. Abrefa
D
57
S. Patton
↑ 61'
F
30
M. Ritchie
🎯 81' 🎯 84' ↑ 72'
M
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bolton
1
1
D
H2H: Luton vs Reading
07.03.26
H2H
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
L
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
01.11.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
07.05.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
W
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
W
21.04.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
09.01.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
W
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
L
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
W
04.07.20
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
5
L
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
L
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
07.03.26
H2H
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
01.11.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
07.05.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
W
21.04.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
09.01.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
W
04.07.20
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
5
L
Last matches: Reading
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Reading
Northampton
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Reading
Leyton Orient
1
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Reading
Peterborough
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
4
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Reading
Bradford
0
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
3
0
W
H2H away: Reading
07.03.26
H2H
Luton
Reading
2
3
W
01.11.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
07.05.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
L
21.04.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
09.01.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
L
04.07.20
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
5
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading Away
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two