ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
07.03.2026 15:00
Kenilworth Road
Referee: O. Mackey
Luton
Match Timeline
Reading
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Reading
🟨
21'
Liam Fraser
Reading
🟨
44'
Paudie O’Connor
Reading
⚽
45'
N. Lonwijk · Assist: E. Lawrence
Luton
⚽
53'
G. Saville · Assist: J. Clark
Luton
🔄
61'
L. Fraser ↔ S. Patton
Reading
🔄
66'
D. Cole ↔ N. Wells
Luton
🔄
66'
J. Richards ↔ L. Walsh
Luton
🟨
70'
Jordan Clark
Luton
🔄
72'
K. Doyle ↔ P. Lane
Reading
🔄
72'
A. Yiadom ↔ M. Ritchie
Reading
🔄
78'
E. Lawrence ↔ C. Bramall
Luton
🔄
78'
K. Palmer ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🟨
80'
Derrick Williams
Reading
⚽
81'
K. Ehibhatiomhan · Assist: M. Ritchie
Reading
⚽
84'
K. Ehibhatiomhan · Assist: M. Ritchie
Reading
🔄
88'
I. Jones ↔ S. Morris
Luton
🟨
90+1'
Joel Pereira
Reading
🔄
90+4'
K. Ehibhatiomhan ↔ F. Burns
Reading

Luton vs Reading Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Reading Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.35
Reading1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
49 GF / 46 GA
Reading Reading
WLDWL
52 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
17
BTTS Yes
25
18
Over 2.5
17
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 36 matches
Reading Reading 35 matches
Luton Statistic Reading
14 Wins 13
9 Draws 12
13 Losses 10
49 Goals For 52
46 Goals Against 47
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
17 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 31
18 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.8
11.67 Total Shots 11.09
5.67 Corners 3.91
55.4% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 5 times, Reading won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Luton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Reading 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 5, draws 3, Reading wins 5

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two