ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
03.10.2026 14:00
Kenilworth Road

Luton vs Doncaster Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 42.3%
Draw 24.1%
Doncaster Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.6
Doncaster1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
21 GF / 17 GA
Doncaster Doncaster
WLDWL
21 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
4.29
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 11 matches
Doncaster Doncaster 14 matches
Luton Statistic Doncaster
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
21 Goals For 21
17 Goals Against 16
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
4.29 Shots On Goal 4.14
13.29 Total Shots 13.57
6.29 Corners 4.86
57.1% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 3 times, Doncaster won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Luton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.9%)
Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Doncaster 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 3, draws 2, Doncaster wins 1

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 0 2 7:4 3 15
W W W L L
2 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
3 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
4 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W W W L
5 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
6 7 3 3 1 11:6 5 12
L D D W W
7 8 3 3 2 13:12 1 12
W D L D W
8 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
9 7 3 2 2 16:9 7 11
D W L W W
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 7 3 1 3 13:9 4 10
W L D W L
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16
Luton Home
7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two