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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
0 - 1
Cardiff
Kenilworth Road
Referee: M. Coy
Luton
Match Timeline
Cardiff
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
32'
D. Turnbull ↔ J. Colwill
Cardiff
🟨
52'
Josh Keeley
Luton
🟨
55'
George Saville
Luton
🔄
58'
N. Wells ↔ J. Yates
Luton
🔄
58'
N. Lonwijk ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
⚽
69'
C. Willock
Cardiff
🔄
70'
D. Lawlor ↔ C. Chambers
Cardiff
🔄
70'
C. Robinson ↔ Y. Salech
Cardiff
🔄
72'
L. Walsh ↔ Z. Nelson
Luton
🔄
73'
G. Saville ↔ S. Baptiste
Luton
🟨
86'
Calum Chambers
Cardiff
🔄
90'
L. Nordas ↔ C. Bramall
Luton
🔄
90'
C. Willock ↔ I. Davies
Cardiff

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cardiff Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton0.85
Cardiff1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Cardiff Cardiff
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
2.75
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 4 matches
Cardiff Cardiff 4 matches
Luton Statistic Cardiff
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
5 Goals For 6
2 Goals Against 1
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
2.75 Shots On Goal 3.5
9 Total Shots 13.75
7 Corners 4.25
61% Ball Possession 65%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 6 times, Cardiff won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Luton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 3-4-1-2 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 6, draws 0, Cardiff wins 7
Stats
Luton Luton
Cardiff Cardiff
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
8
5 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
38% Ball Possession 62%
23 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 8
20 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
274 Total passes 448
191 Passes accurate 380
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Cardiff
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
C. Makosso
C. Makosso
M. McGuinness
M. McGuinness
K. Naismith
K. Naismith
N. Lonwijk
↓
N. Lonwijk
L. Walsh
↓
L. Walsh
G. Saville
↓
G. Saville
M. Alli
M. Alli
J. Clark
J. Clark
N. Wells
↓
N. Wells
L. Nordas
↓
L. Nordas
N. Trott
N. Trott
R. Kpakio
R. Kpakio
W. Fish
W. Fish
D. Lawlor
↓
D. Lawlor
J. Bagan
J. Bagan
D. Turnbull
↓
D. Turnbull
R. Wintle
R. Wintle
C. Ashford
C. Ashford
R. Colwill
R. Colwill
C. Willock
⚽ ↓
C. Willock
C. Robinson
↓
C. Robinson
Luton 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
🟨 52'
G
28
C. Makosso
D
6
M. McGuinness
D
3
K. Naismith
D
17
N. Lonwijk
↓ 58'
M
8
L. Walsh
↓ 72'
M
23
G. Saville
↓ 73' 🟨 55'
M
7
M. Alli
M
18
J. Clark
F
21
N. Wells
↓ 58'
F
20
L. Nordas
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
9
J. Yates
↑ 58'
F
26
S. Baptiste
↑ 73'
M
29
T. Holmes
D
30
G. Kodua
↑ 58'
F
33
C. Bramall
↑ 90'
D
37
Z. Nelson
↑ 72'
M
Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
N. Trott
G
44
R. Kpakio
D
2
W. Fish
D
48
D. Lawlor
↓ 70'
D
3
J. Bagan
D
14
D. Turnbull
↓ 32'
M
6
R. Wintle
M
45
C. Ashford
M
10
R. Colwill
M
16
C. Willock
⚽ 69' ↓ 90'
M
47
C. Robinson
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
41
M. Turner
G
12
C. Chambers
↑ 70' 🟨 86'
D
38
P. Ng
D
24
E. King
M
27
J. Colwill
↑ 32'
M
39
I. Davies
↑ 90'
F
22
Y. Salech
↑ 70'
F
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
Last matches: Cardiff
17.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Wrexham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
H2H: Luton vs Cardiff
14.02.26
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
1
L
11.03.25
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
1
2
W
06.11.24
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
0
W
31.01.23
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
0
W
30.08.22
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
1
2
W
18.04.22
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
0
1
W
27.11.21
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
2
L
16.02.21
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
4
0
L
08.02.20
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
1
L
27.08.19
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
0
3
W
10.08.19
H2H
Cardiff
Luton
2
1
L
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
H2H at home: Luton
23.08.25
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
1
L
06.11.24
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
0
W
31.01.23
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
0
W
27.11.21
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
2
L
16.02.21
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
2
L
08.02.20
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
1
L
Last matches: Cardiff
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
07.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Rotherham
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bradford
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
1
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Cardiff
Peterborough
0
1
L
H2H away: Cardiff
23.08.25
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
1
W
06.11.24
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
0
L
31.01.23
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
0
L
27.11.21
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
1
2
W
16.02.21
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
2
W
08.02.20
H2H
Luton
Cardiff
0
1
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff Away
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two