ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Kenilworth Road
Referee: S. Stockbridge
Luton
Match Timeline
Burton Albion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
N. Wells · Assist: J. Johnson
Luton
🟨
29'
George Evans
Burton Albion
🟨
36'
Kasey Palmer
Luton
🔄
46'
K. Palmer ↔ D. van den Berg
Luton
🔄
46'
J. Armer ↔ J. Moon
Burton Albion
🔄
61'
J. J. McKiernan ↔ A. Cannon
Burton Albion
🔄
61'
G. Evans ↔ S. Krubally
Burton Albion
🔄
69'
N. Wells ↔ D. Cole
Luton
🔄
70'
S. Morris ↔ J. Richards
Luton
🟨
74'
Kyran Lofthouse
Burton Albion
🔄
80'
T. Shade ↔ K. Adom
Burton Albion
🔄
80'
T. Sibbick ↔ F. Tavares
Burton Albion
🟨
82'
Josh Keeley
Luton
🔄
86'
G. Kodua ↔ N. Lonwijk
Luton
🟨
89'
Davy van den Berg
Luton
🟨
89'
Andy Cannon
Burton Albion
90'
F. Tavares · Assist: U. Godwin-Malife
Burton Albion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burton Albion Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.36
Burton Albion1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
47 GF / 44 GA
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WLDWL
48 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
15
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
21
3.68
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 34 matches
Burton Albion Burton Albion 35 matches
Luton Statistic Burton Albion
14 Wins 12
7 Draws 8
13 Losses 15
47 Goals For 48
44 Goals Against 47
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
15 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 13
3.68 Shots On Goal 3.63
11.85 Total Shots 11.71
5.79 Corners 5.29
55.2% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 2 times, Burton Albion won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Luton's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 4-1-4-1 / Burton Albion 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Luton wins 2, draws 1, Burton Albion wins 3
Stats
Luton Luton
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
1 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 0
3 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
385 Total passes 292
266 Passes accurate 179
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Burton Albion
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
I. Jones
I. Jones
M. Andersen
M. Andersen
K. Naismith
K. Naismith
J. Johnson
🎯
J. Johnson
G. Saville
G. Saville
S. Morris
S. Morris
J. Clark
J. Clark
K. Palmer
K. Palmer
G. Kodua
G. Kodua
N. Wells
N. Wells
B. Collins
B. Collins
U. Godwin-Malife
🎯
U. Godwin-Malife
T. Sibbick
T. Sibbick
A. Hartridge
A. Hartridge
K. Lofthouse
K. Lofthouse
K. Chauke
K. Chauke
J. J. McKiernan
J. J. McKiernan
J. Armer
J. Armer
G. Evans
G. Evans
J. Beesley
J. Beesley
T. Shade
T. Shade
Luton 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
🟨 82'
G
25
I. Jones
D
5
M. Andersen
D
3
K. Naismith
D
38
J. Johnson
🎯 13'
D
23
G. Saville
M
14
S. Morris
↓ 70'
M
18
J. Clark
M
54
K. Palmer
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
M
30
G. Kodua
↓ 86'
M
21
N. Wells
⚽ 13' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
22
D. Cole
↑ 69'
F
15
T. Mengi
D
17
N. Lonwijk
↑ 86'
D
6
D. van den Berg
↑ 46' 🟨 89'
M
32
E. Lawrence
F
27
J. Richards
↑ 70'
M
Burton Albion 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
24
B. Collins
G
2
U. Godwin-Malife
🎯 90'
D
6
T. Sibbick
↓ 80'
D
16
A. Hartridge
D
15
K. Lofthouse
🟨 74'
M
4
K. Chauke
M
7
J. J. McKiernan
↓ 61'
M
3
J. Armer
↓ 46'
M
12
G. Evans
↓ 61' 🟨 29'
F
9
J. Beesley
F
10
T. Shade
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
27
K. Dudek
G
42
A. Cannon
↑ 61' 🟨 89'
M
22
J. Larsson
F
18
J. Moon
↑ 46'
D
29
K. Adom
↑ 80'
F
11
F. Tavares
⚽ 90' ↑ 80'
F
41
S. Krubally
↑ 61'
F
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
Last matches: Burton Albion
01.08.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Birmingham
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Alfreton Town
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
H2H: Luton vs Burton Albion
21.02.26
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
30.08.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
0
3
W
27.04.19
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
2
1
L
22.12.18
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
2
0
W
11.04.15
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
0
1
L
22.11.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
1
0
L
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
21.02.26
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
22.12.18
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
2
0
W
11.04.15
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
0
1
L
Last matches: Burton Albion
28.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Alfreton Town
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Port Vale
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bolton
1
2
L
22.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Lincoln
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Burton Albion
Boreham Wood
5
0
W
04.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Plymouth
0
3
L
01.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
2
2
D
08.12.25
FA
Burton Albion
Brackley Town
3
1
W
02.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wigan
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
04.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
2
2
D
H2H away: Burton Albion
21.02.26
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
22.12.18
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
2
0
L
11.04.15
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
0
1
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two