ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Kenilworth Road
Referee: R. Eley
Luton
Match Timeline
Bradford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Curtis Tilt
Bradford
39'
J. Richards · Assist: G. Kodua
Luton
🟨
43'
Josh Neufville
Bradford
55'
S. Morris · Assist: J. Clark
Luton
🔄
61'
K. Jackson ↔ A. Sarcevic
Bradford
🔄
61'
T. Wright ↔ S. Humphrys
Bradford
🔄
61'
P. Mullin ↔ E. Wheatley
Bradford
🟨
67'
Kasey Palmer
Luton
🔄
67'
J. Richards ↔ D. van den Berg
Luton
🔄
68'
S. Morris ↔ I. Jones
Luton
🔄
74'
M. Pennington ↔ B. Pointon
Bradford
🟨
75'
Josh Keeley
Luton
🔄
77'
G. Kodua ↔ N. Wells
Luton
🔄
83'
J. Clark ↔ G. Saville
Luton
🔄
83'
D. Cole ↔ A. Al Hamadi
Luton
🔄
85'
J. Neufville ↔ L. Evans
Bradford
90'
S. Humphrys · Assist: A. Sarcevic
Bradford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bradford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.29
Bradford1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
44 GF / 39 GA
Bradford Bradford
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
13
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
16
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 31 matches
Bradford Bradford 29 matches
Luton Statistic Bradford
13 Wins 14
7 Draws 7
11 Losses 8
44 Goals For 36
39 Goals Against 32
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
13 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 7
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.94 Total Shots 12.07
5.97 Corners 5.07
55.9% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 3 times, Bradford won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Luton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 4-1-4-1 / Bradford 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 3, draws 0, Bradford wins 1
Stats
Luton Luton
Bradford Bradford
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 5
15 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 7
10 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
333 Total passes 326
235 Passes accurate 234
1.01 expected_goals 1.46
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Bradford
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
N. Lonwijk
N. Lonwijk
M. Andersen
M. Andersen
T. Mengi
T. Mengi
J. Johnson
J. Johnson
K. Palmer
K. Palmer
S. Morris
S. Morris
J. Richards
J. Richards
J. Clark
🎯
J. Clark
G. Kodua
🎯
G. Kodua
D. Cole
D. Cole
S. Walker
S. Walker
M. Pennington
M. Pennington
A. Baldwin
A. Baldwin
C. Tilt
C. Tilt
J. Neufville
J. Neufville
M. Power
M. Power
J. Metcalfe
J. Metcalfe
I. Touray
I. Touray
K. Jackson
K. Jackson
T. Wright
T. Wright
P. Mullin
P. Mullin
Luton 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
🟨 75'
G
17
N. Lonwijk
D
5
M. Andersen
D
15
T. Mengi
D
38
J. Johnson
D
54
K. Palmer
🟨 67'
M
14
S. Morris
⚽ 55' ↓ 68'
M
27
J. Richards
⚽ 39' ↓ 67'
M
18
J. Clark
🎯 55' ↓ 83'
M
30
G. Kodua
🎯 39' ↓ 77'
M
22
D. Cole
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
3
K. Naismith
D
23
G. Saville
↑ 83'
M
25
I. Jones
↑ 68'
F
21
N. Wells
↑ 77'
F
6
D. van den Berg
↑ 67'
M
12
A. Al Hamadi
↑ 83'
F
Bradford 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
S. Walker
G
28
M. Pennington
↓ 74'
D
15
A. Baldwin
D
26
C. Tilt
🟨 27'
D
7
J. Neufville
↓ 85' 🟨 43'
M
6
M. Power
M
21
J. Metcalfe
3
I. Touray
M
19
K. Jackson
↓ 61'
F
17
T. Wright
↓ 61'
F
14
P. Mullin
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Hilton
G
4
J. Wright
D
10
A. Sarcevic
🎯 90' ↑ 61'
M
8
L. Evans
↑ 85'
M
23
B. Pointon
↑ 74'
F
11
S. Humphrys
⚽ 90' ↑ 61'
F
27
E. Wheatley
↑ 61'
F
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
Last matches: Bradford
01.08.26
Fri
Bradford
Salford City
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Preston
3
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Gmunden
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Accrington ST
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bradford
FC Halifax Town
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bradford
United of Manchester
2
1
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Exeter City
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Barnsley
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Stevenage
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Wycombe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Northampton
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Burton Albion
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Wigan
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Port Vale
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
H2H: Luton vs Bradford
07.02.26
H2H
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
16.08.25
H2H
Bradford
Luton
2
1
L
12.03.19
H2H
Bradford
Luton
0
1
W
27.11.18
H2H
Luton
Bradford
4
0
W
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
07.02.26
H2H
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
27.11.18
H2H
Luton
Bradford
4
0
W
Last matches: Bradford
01.08.26
Fri
Bradford
Salford City
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Gmunden
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Accrington ST
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bradford
FC Halifax Town
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bradford
United of Manchester
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Exeter City
2
1
W
18.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Barnsley
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Wycombe
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Burton Albion
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Wigan
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Port Vale
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Reading
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Lincoln
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Huddersfield
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Blackpool
2
1
W
01.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Mansfield Town
0
3
L
20.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
06.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Plymouth
1
0
W
H2H away: Bradford
07.02.26
H2H
Luton
Bradford
2
1
L
27.11.18
H2H
Luton
Bradford
4
0
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two