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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
1 - 1
Bolton
Kenilworth Road
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
Luton
Match Timeline
Bolton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
K. Dempsey · Assist: J. Osei-Tutu
Bolton
🟨
53'
Xavier Simons
Bolton
🟨
57'
Nigel Cello Lonwijk
Luton
🟨
61'
Josh Dacres-Cogley
Bolton
🔄
64'
J. Brown ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🟨
70'
Xavier Simons
Bolton
🟥
70'
Xavier Simons
Bolton
🔄
74'
M. Burstow ↔ S. Dalby
Bolton
🔄
74'
K. Dempsey ↔ E. Erhahon
Bolton
🔄
79'
A. Cozier-Duberry ↔ M. Forss
Bolton
🔄
80'
J. Osei-Tutu ↔ R. Taylor
Bolton
🔄
82'
N. Lonwijk ↔ M. Alli
Luton
🔄
82'
L. Fanne ↔ S. Morris
Luton
⚽
83'
G. Kodua · Assist: M. Alli
Luton
🔄
90+1'
J. Dacres-Cogley ↔ J. McAtee
Bolton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bolton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.17
Bolton1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
24 GF / 24 GA
Bolton Bolton
WLDWL
25 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
6
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
7
3.94
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 18 matches
Bolton Bolton 17 matches
Luton Statistic Bolton
9 Wins 8
2 Draws 6
7 Losses 3
24 Goals For 25
24 Goals Against 16
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
6 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
3.94 Shots On Goal 4.94
12.11 Total Shots 15.88
6.56 Corners 6.18
57.2% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 2 times, Bolton won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Luton's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 3-4-2-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 2, draws 2, Bolton wins 0
Stats
Luton Luton
Bolton Bolton
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
13 Corner Kicks 2
8 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 5
9 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
420 Total passes 366
327 Passes accurate 284
1.08 expected_goals 1.27
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Bolton
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
T. Mengi
T. Mengi
N. Lonwijk
↓
N. Lonwijk
K. Naismith
K. Naismith
H. Odoffin
H. Odoffin
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
G. Saville
G. Saville
C. Bramall
C. Bramall
J. Brown
↓
J. Brown
L. Fanne
↓
L. Fanne
J. Yates
J. Yates
T. Sharman-Lowe
T. Sharman-Lowe
J. Dacres-Cogley
↓
J. Dacres-Cogley
E. Toal
E. Toal
G. Johnston
G. Johnston
M. Conway
M. Conway
X. Simons
X. Simons
A. Morley
A. Morley
A. Cozier-Duberry
↓
A. Cozier-Duberry
K. Dempsey
⚽ ↓
K. Dempsey
J. Osei-Tutu
🎯 ↓
J. Osei-Tutu
M. Burstow
↓
M. Burstow
Luton 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
15
T. Mengi
D
17
N. Lonwijk
↓ 82' 🟨 57'
D
3
K. Naismith
D
16
H. Odoffin
M
8
L. Walsh
M
23
G. Saville
M
33
C. Bramall
M
19
J. Brown
↓ 64'
F
22
L. Fanne
↓ 82'
F
9
J. Yates
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
5
M. Andersen
D
7
M. Alli
🎯 83' ↑ 82'
F
14
S. Morris
↑ 82'
F
28
C. Makosso
D
30
G. Kodua
⚽ 83' ↑ 64'
F
37
Z. Nelson
M
Bolton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Sharman-Lowe
G
2
J. Dacres-Cogley
↓ 90+1' 🟨 61'
D
18
E. Toal
D
6
G. Johnston
D
25
M. Conway
D
4
X. Simons
🟨 53' 🟨 70' 🟥 70'
M
16
A. Morley
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
↓ 79'
M
22
K. Dempsey
⚽ 8' ↓ 74'
M
14
J. Osei-Tutu
🎯 8' ↓ 80'
M
48
M. Burstow
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
27
T. Miller
G
5
R. Taylor
↑ 80'
D
10
S. Dalby
↑ 74'
F
20
I. Cissoko
F
21
E. Erhahon
↑ 74'
M
24
M. Forss
↑ 79'
F
45
J. McAtee
↑ 90+1'
F
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
Last matches: Bolton
15.08.26
Cha
Bolton
Preston
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Bolton
NAC Breda
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Everton
0
0
D
21.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Oldham
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Dunajska Streda
1
2
L
24.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
4
1
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Luton
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Huddersfield
3
3
D
14.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stevenage
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Cardiff
0
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Stockport County
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Plymouth
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Port Vale
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Doncaster
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Rotherham
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Wycombe
3
2
W
H2H: Luton vs Bolton
02.05.26
H2H
Bolton
Luton
2
3
W
29.11.25
H2H
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
16.01.24
H2H
Bolton
Luton
1
2
W
07.01.24
H2H
Luton
Bolton
0
0
D
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
29.11.25
H2H
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
07.01.24
H2H
Luton
Bolton
0
0
D
Last matches: Bolton
28.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
21.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Oldham
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bolton
Dunajska Streda
1
2
L
14.05.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Bradford
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Cardiff
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Bolton
Plymouth
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Port Vale
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Bolton
Rotherham
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Exeter City
5
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Reading
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Bolton
Lincoln
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lea
Bolton
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
20.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Stevenage
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Wigan
1
0
W
10.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Peterborough
1
3
L
01.01.26
Lea
Bolton
Doncaster
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Wycombe
1
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Bolton
Mansfield Town
1
0
W
06.12.25
FA
Bolton
Swindon Town
0
4
L
H2H away: Bolton
29.11.25
H2H
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
07.01.24
H2H
Luton
Bolton
0
0
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton Away
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two