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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
2 - 1
Barnsley
Kenilworth Road
Referee: H. Wager
Luton
Match Timeline
Barnsley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
N. Wells
Luton
⚽
26'
A. Phillips
Barnsley
🟨
45+1'
Josh Earl
Barnsley
🟨
45'
Corey O'Keeffe
Barnsley
🟨
49'
Luca Connell
Barnsley
🟨
55'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🔄
56'
T. Bradshaw ↔ D. McGoldrick
Barnsley
🔄
56'
J. Earl ↔ G. Gent
Barnsley
🔄
64'
N. Wells ↔ D. Cole
Luton
🔄
64'
E. Lawrence ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🔄
64'
D. van den Berg ↔ J. Richards
Luton
🟨
67'
Jonathan Bland
Barnsley
🔄
70'
J. Bland ↔ K. Nwakali
Barnsley
🔄
76'
R. Cleary ↔ S. Banks
Barnsley
🔄
76'
A. Phillips ↔ L. Farrell
Barnsley
⚽
79'
K. Palmer · Assist: M. Andersen
Luton
🔄
86'
K. Palmer ↔ G. Saville
Luton
🟨
90+5'
Eoghan O'Connell
Barnsley
🔄
90+3'
S. Morris ↔ N. Lonwijk
Luton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 68.4%
Draw 0%
Barnsley Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.54
Barnsley1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
69 GF / 58 GA
Barnsley Barnsley
WLDWL
70 GF / 74 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
25
BTTS Yes
31
25
Over 2.5
29
3.96
Shots on Goal
3.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 46 matches
Barnsley Barnsley 46 matches
Luton Statistic Barnsley
20 Wins 16
12 Draws 14
14 Losses 16
69 Goals For 70
58 Goals Against 74
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
25 BTTS Yes 31
35 Over 1.5 38
25 Over 2.5 29
14 Over 3.5 22
13 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 12
3.96 Shots On Goal 3.87
12.76 Total Shots 11.46
5.89 Corners 4.83
54.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 5 times, Barnsley won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Luton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Barnsley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 5, draws 2, Barnsley wins 3
Stats
Luton Luton
Barnsley Barnsley
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
9 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
324 Total passes 333
254 Passes accurate 234
3.18 expected_goals 2.14
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Barnsley
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
I. Jones
I. Jones
H. Odoffin
H. Odoffin
K. Naismith
K. Naismith
M. Andersen
🎯
M. Andersen
D. van den Berg
↓
D. van den Berg
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
S. Morris
↓
S. Morris
K. Palmer
⚽ ↓
K. Palmer
E. Lawrence
↓
E. Lawrence
N. Wells
⚽ ↓
N. Wells
O. Goodman
O. Goodman
C. O'Keeffe
C. O'Keeffe
M. de Gevigney
M. de Gevigney
E. O'Connell
E. O'Connell
J. Earl
↓
J. Earl
J. Bland
↓
J. Bland
L. Connell
L. Connell
A. Phillips
⚽ ↓
A. Phillips
P. Kelly
P. Kelly
R. Cleary
↓
R. Cleary
T. Bradshaw
↓
T. Bradshaw
Luton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
25
I. Jones
D
16
H. Odoffin
D
3
K. Naismith
D
5
M. Andersen
🎯 79'
D
6
D. van den Berg
↓ 64'
M
8
L. Walsh
🟨 55'
M
14
S. Morris
↓ 90+3'
M
54
K. Palmer
⚽ 79' ↓ 86'
M
32
E. Lawrence
↓ 64'
M
21
N. Wells
⚽ 16' ↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
22
D. Cole
↑ 64'
F
23
G. Saville
↑ 86'
M
17
N. Lonwijk
↑ 90+3'
D
12
A. Al Hamadi
F
30
G. Kodua
↑ 64'
F
27
J. Richards
↑ 64'
M
Barnsley 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
O. Goodman
G
7
C. O'Keeffe
🟨 45'
D
6
M. de Gevigney
D
15
E. O'Connell
🟨 90+5'
D
32
J. Earl
↓ 56' 🟨 45+1'
D
30
J. Bland
↓ 70' 🟨 67'
M
48
L. Connell
🟨 49'
M
8
A. Phillips
⚽ 26' ↓ 76'
M
22
P. Kelly
M
19
R. Cleary
↓ 76'
M
9
T. Bradshaw
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
51
K. Flavell
10
D. McGoldrick
↑ 56'
F
18
S. Banks
↑ 76'
F
17
G. Gent
↑ 56'
D
5
J. Shepherd
D
50
K. Nwakali
↑ 70'
M
39
L. Farrell
↑ 76'
F
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
Last matches: Barnsley
02.08.26
Fri
Barnsley
Guiseley AFC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Barnsley
Lincoln
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
Scarborough Athletic
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
Blackburn
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
York
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
Matlock Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Northampton
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Stevenage
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Bradford
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Port Vale
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Rotherham
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Plymouth
0
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Burton Albion
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Doncaster
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wigan
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Cardiff
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Exeter City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wycombe
0
1
L
H2H: Luton vs Barnsley
25.04.26
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Barnsley
Luton
5
0
L
08.02.22
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
17.08.21
H2H
Barnsley
Luton
0
1
W
05.04.21
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
1
2
L
12.09.20
H2H
Barnsley
Luton
0
1
W
07.07.20
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
1
1
D
24.08.19
H2H
Barnsley
Luton
1
3
W
01.01.19
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
0
0
D
13.10.18
H2H
Barnsley
Luton
3
2
L
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
25.04.26
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
08.02.22
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
05.04.21
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
1
2
L
07.07.20
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
1
1
D
01.01.19
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
0
0
D
Last matches: Barnsley
02.08.26
Fri
Barnsley
Guiseley AFC
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
Scarborough Athletic
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
Blackburn
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
York
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Barnsley
Matlock Town
2
0
W
28.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Northampton
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Stevenage
0
1
L
14.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Port Vale
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Rotherham
3
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Burton Albion
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Huddersfield
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Bolton
2
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Barnsley
Cardiff
0
4
L
24.01.26
Lea
Barnsley
Reading
2
2
D
12.01.26
FA
Barnsley
Liverpool
1
4
L
01.01.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wigan
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Barnsley
Exeter City
0
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Barnsley
Lincoln
1
3
L
H2H away: Barnsley
25.04.26
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
L
08.02.22
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
L
05.04.21
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
1
2
W
07.07.20
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
1
1
D
01.01.19
H2H
Luton
Barnsley
0
0
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley Away
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two