SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
11.09.2026 17:00
Klostergardens Idrottsplats
Lund
Match Timeline
Rosengård
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
G. Bath Saganger
Lund
🔄
46'
Z. Salifu ↔ L. Carlius
Rosengård
🔄
46'
A. Malaj ↔ E. Igbonekwu
Rosengård
🟨
71'
K. Larsson
Rosengård
🔄
71'
A. Wihlborg Costa ↔ A. Mehmedagic
Lund
🔄
71'
K. Pasalic ↔ R. Bonde
Rosengård
🔄
79'
J. Strid ↔ I. Orajarvi
Lund
🔄
79'
B. Velickovic ↔ H. Elwan
Lund
🔄
85'
J. Getachew ↔ A. Mehmeti
Lund
🔄
87'
F. Petersen ↔ M. Ritari
Rosengård
🔄
87'
O. Hakansson ↔ G. Backaliden
Rosengård
87'
A. Mehmedagic · Assist: A. Nilsson
Lund
🟨
90+1'
L. Carlius
Rosengård

Lund vs Rosengård Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.6%
2.25
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Lund Win 66.6%
Draw 12.4%
Rosengård Win 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lund1.7
Rosengård1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lund Lund
WWDLW
56 GF / 37 GA
Rosengård Rosengård
WLDWL
52 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
18
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lund Lund 29 matches
Rosengård Rosengård 31 matches
Lund Statistic Rosengård
13 Wins 13
9 Draws 10
7 Losses 8
56 Goals For 52
37 Goals Against 42
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
18 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rosengård having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rosengård. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Lund Analysis

Placed 4 with 34 points from 19 outings, Lund continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 41:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rosengård Analysis

Rosengård arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 31 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 31:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Lund won 4 times, Rosengård won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Lund's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
H2H summary: Lund wins 4, draws 1, Rosengård wins 3

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 6 3 44:24 20 42
W L W L L
2 21 12 3 6 41:26 15 39
L W W W W
3 21 11 6 4 45:32 13 39
W D L W W
4
Lund Home
21 10 8 3 44:26 18 38
W D W W L
5 21 9 7 5 35:28 7 34
L W W D D
6 21 9 6 6 28:28 0 33
D W D W W
7 21 8 8 5 39:31 8 32
D D D L D
8 21 7 7 7 33:33 0 28
W W L W W
9 21 7 6 8 25:20 5 27
D L W D D
10 21 6 9 6 23:29 -6 27
W W D W L
11 21 8 2 11 38:43 -5 26
L W L L D
12 21 7 4 10 32:38 -6 25
L L L D W
13 21 5 6 10 25:33 -8 21
D L W L L
14 21 6 3 12 28:38 -10 21
W L D L D
15 21 3 8 10 25:39 -14 17
L L L L L
16 21 1 5 15 17:54 -37 8
L D L D D