SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
--.--.---- --:--
Klostergardens Idrottsplats
Lund
Match Timeline
AFC Malmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
A. Awad
AFC Malmo
40'
A. Reuterskiold
AFC Malmo
45'
A. Awad
AFC Malmo
🔄
46'
D. T. Kolle ↔ H. Elwan
Lund
🔄
58'
A. Wihlborg Costa ↔ A. Nygaard
Lund
🔄
58'
F. Akdemir ↔ A. Mehmedagic
Lund
67'
A. Mehmedagic
Lund
🔄
68'
S. Lindfors ↔ D. Olofsson
Lund
🟨
69'
A. Reinholdsson
AFC Malmo
🔄
72'
A. Reinholdsson ↔ E. Eliassi
AFC Malmo
🔄
72'
A. Reuterskiold ↔ K. Harletun
AFC Malmo
🔄
72'
A. Awad ↔ V. Castro
AFC Malmo
🔄
82'
C. Sener ↔ S. Karim
AFC Malmo
🔄
87'
M. Fatahi ↔ V. Christiansson
AFC Malmo
89'
V. Castro
AFC Malmo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lund Win 57.1%
Draw 6.9%
AFC Malmo Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lund1.58
AFC Malmo1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lund Lund
WWDLW
37 GF / 22 GA
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo
WLDWL
22 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
2
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
11
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lund Lund 20 matches
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo 11 matches
Lund Statistic AFC Malmo
10 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
37 Goals For 22
22 Goals Against 13
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
11 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AFC Malmo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Malmo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AFC Malmo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Lund Analysis

Lund come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 22 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 23:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Nilsson (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

AFC Malmo Analysis

AFC Malmo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 21 points after 11 outings. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:13, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Reinholdsson (1 goals), A. Reuterskiold (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Lund won 0 times, AFC Malmo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Lund's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
H2H summary: Lund wins 0, draws 0, AFC Malmo wins 1

Lineups

Lund
Formation
AFC Malmo
A. Alexandersson
A. Alexandersson
B. Velickovic
B. Velickovic
L. Nicklasson
L. Nicklasson
A. Nilsson
A. Nilsson
E. Lindman
E. Lindman
J. Jacobsson
J. Jacobsson
S. Lindfors
S. Lindfors
F. Akdemir
F. Akdemir
A. Wihlborg Costa
A. Wihlborg Costa
D. T. Kolle
D. T. Kolle
M. Bojang
M. Bojang
P. Martensson
P. Martensson
A. Sjostrand Bjurnemark
A. Sjostrand Bjurnemark
L. Larsen
L. Larsen
B. Nouri
B. Nouri
A. Reuterskiold
A. Reuterskiold
A. Reinholdsson
A. Reinholdsson
A. Podrimcaku
A. Podrimcaku
M. Fatahi
M. Fatahi
F. Martinsson
F. Martinsson
A. Awad
⚽ 2
A. Awad
C. Sener
C. Sener
Lund 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Alexandersson
2
B. Velickovic
3
L. Nicklasson
7
A. Nilsson
10
E. Lindman
14
J. Jacobsson
17
S. Lindfors
↓ 68'
18
F. Akdemir
↓ 58'
20
A. Wihlborg Costa
↓ 58'
21
D. T. Kolle
↓ 46'
99
M. Bojang
Substitutes
4
H. Elwan
↑ 46'
6
A. Falk
9
A. Nygaard
↑ 58'
11
A. Mehmedagic
⚽ 67' ↑ 58'
16
D. Olofsson
↑ 68'
23
R. Wendt
32
T. Fordham
AFC Malmo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
P. Martensson
3
A. Sjostrand Bjurnemark
5
L. Larsen
6
B. Nouri
10
A. Reuterskiold
⚽ 40' ↓ 72'
11
A. Reinholdsson
↓ 72' 🟨 69'
17
A. Podrimcaku
19
M. Fatahi
↓ 87'
21
F. Martinsson
30
A. Awad
⚽ 30' ⚽ 45' ↓ 72'
99
C. Sener
↓ 82'
Substitutes
2
S. Karim
↑ 82'
7
E. Eliassi
↑ 72'
8
K. Harletun
↑ 72'
20
N. Sinanov
22
E. Alievski
36
V. Christiansson
↑ 87'
77
V. Castro
⚽ 89' ↑ 72'
Last matches: Lund
27.06.26
Ett
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Lund
Jonkopings Sodra
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ett
Lund
Kristianstad
1
1
D
03.06.26
Ett
Lund
Olympic
3
1
W
22.05.26
Ett
Lund
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ett
Lund
Utsikten
5
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Lund
Laholm
3
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Lund
Trollhättan
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ett
Lund
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
Lund
Tvååker
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Lund
Angelholms FF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ett
Lund
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ett
Lund
Rosengård
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Lund
Kristianstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lund
Angelholms FF
4
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Lund
Ariana
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fri
Lund
IFK Trelleborg
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lund
Rosengård
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lund
Eskilsminne
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lund
Nosaby
2
1
W
Last matches: AFC Malmo
27.06.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Jonkopings Sodra
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Olympic
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Eskilsminne
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Laholm
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Skövde AIK
4
0
W
18.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Tvååker
0
1
L
14.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Trollhättan
2
0
W
08.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Hässleholms IF
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Utsikten
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Atvidabergs FF
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Rosengård
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Trelleborg
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Kristianstad
2
2
D
H2H: Lund vs AFC Malmo
12.06.26
H2H
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
L
Last matches: Lund
27.06.26
Ett
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ett
Lund
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ett
Lund
Utsikten
5
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
Lund
Tvååker
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ett
Lund
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Lund
Angelholms FF
4
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Lund
Ariana
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fri
Lund
IFK Trelleborg
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lund
Rosengård
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Lund
Nosaby
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Lund
Hässleholms IF
3
2
W
H2H at home: Lund
12.06.26
H2H
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
L
Last matches: AFC Malmo
23.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Skövde AIK
4
0
W
14.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Trollhättan
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Utsikten
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Atvidabergs FF
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ett
AFC Malmo
Trelleborg
1
1
D
H2H away: AFC Malmo
12.06.26
H2H
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
W

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 9 5 0 33:12 21 32
D W W W W
2 14 8 3 3 28:16 12 27
W L W W W
3 14 7 5 2 30:18 12 26
D W W D D
4
Lund Home
14 7 5 2 26:16 10 26
W D L D W
5 14 6 4 4 23:19 4 22
D L W W L
6 14 6 3 5 27:22 5 21
W D L W W
7 14 6 3 5 17:19 -2 21
L W W D L
8 15 6 2 7 25:28 -3 20
W L W L L
9 14 6 1 7 22:24 -2 19
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:15 5 18
L D L W L
11 14 3 7 4 22:22 0 16
D L W D W
12 14 3 7 4 11:20 -9 16
L D L L W
13 15 3 5 7 16:24 -8 14
L D L D D
14 14 4 1 9 21:29 -8 13
W W L L L
15 14 2 7 5 18:26 -8 13
D L D L D
16 14 1 1 12 10:39 -29 4
L L L L L