Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.61 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.73 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ludogorets
17 matches
Septemvri Sofia
18 matches
| Ludogorets | Statistic | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 10 |
| 35 | Goals For | 19 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ludogorets's more proactive style and Septemvri Sofia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Septemvri Sofia. Ludogorets arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 17 points compared to Septemvri Sofia in 7 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Ludogorets come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 17 points after 7 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 12:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
So far, Septemvri Sofia have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 8 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 7:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 10 times, Septemvri Sofia won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:3 from Ludogorets's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Ludogorets
Home
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 17 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Septemvri Sofia
Away
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|