BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Huvepharma Arena
Referee: L. Lyubomirov
Ludogorets
Match Timeline
Levski Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Gašper Trdin
Levski Sofia
🟨
37'
Idan Nachmias
Ludogorets
🟨
38'
Asen Ivanov Mitkov
Levski Sofia
🔄
46'
M. Sangare ↔ J. Perea
Levski Sofia
🔄
61'
A. Mitkov ↔ Everton Bala
Levski Sofia
🔄
61'
K. Fabien ↔ R. Kirilov
Levski Sofia
🟨
65'
Mazire Soula
Levski Sofia
🔄
66'
E. Bile ↔ A. Salido Tajero
Ludogorets
67'
J. Perea · Assist: Everton Bala
Levski Sofia
🟨
70'
Aldair
Levski Sofia
🟨
71'
Maicon
Levski Sofia
🔄
77'
F. Kaloc ↔ I. Yordanov
Ludogorets
🔄
77'
M. Soula ↔ A. Oko-Flex
Levski Sofia
81'
D. Duarte · Assist: P. Stanic
Ludogorets
🔄
83'
G. Trdin ↔ G. Kostadinov
Levski Sofia
🔄
90+1'
Erick Marcus ↔ Pedro Naressi
Ludogorets

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
67.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
85.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ludogorets Win 56.4%
Draw 8.8%
Levski Sofia Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ludogorets1.29
Levski Sofia1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WWDLW
84 GF / 50 GA
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WLDWL
72 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.76
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
23
BTTS Yes
16
27
Over 2.5
20
4.02
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ludogorets Ludogorets 51 matches
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 41 matches
Ludogorets Statistic Levski Sofia
25 Wins 26
13 Draws 7
13 Losses 8
84 Goals For 72
50 Goals Against 31
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
23 BTTS Yes 16
36 Over 1.5 25
27 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 12
22 Clean Sheets 18
13 Failed To Score 12
4.02 Shots On Goal 3.67
11.92 Total Shots 9.26
4.58 Corners 4
43.8% Ball Possession 37.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Levski Sofia. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Ludogorets have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets sit 2 with 63 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 18 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 59:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Chochev (16 goals), P. Stanic (9 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (9 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (5 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Levski Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 76 points after 33 outings. With 24 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:24, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Everton Bala (17 goals), M. Sangare (9 goals), M. Petkov (7 goals), with creative support from M. Soula (8 assists), R. Kirilov (5 assists), Maicon Araujo dos Santos (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 8 times, Levski Sofia won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:10 from Ludogorets's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Ludogorets 4-2-3-1 / Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ludogorets wins 8, draws 5, Levski Sofia wins 2

Lineups

Ludogorets
Formation
Levski Sofia
H. Bonmann
H. Bonmann
Son
Son
I. Nachmias
I. Nachmias
A. Nedyalkov
A. Nedyalkov
Vinicius Nogueira
Vinicius Nogueira
F. Kaloc
F. Kaloc
D. Duarte
D. Duarte
I. Chochev
I. Chochev
P. Stanic
🎯
P. Stanic
Erick Marcus
Erick Marcus
E. Bile
E. Bile
M. Lukov
M. Lukov
A. Neves
A. Neves
K. Dimitrov
K. Dimitrov
N. Serafimov
N. Serafimov
Maicon
Maicon
G. Trdin
G. Trdin
A. Bouras
A. Bouras
K. Fabien
K. Fabien
A. Mitkov
A. Mitkov
M. Soula
M. Soula
M. Sangare
M. Sangare
Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
H. Bonmann
G
17
Son
D
55
I. Nachmias
🟨 37'
D
3
A. Nedyalkov
D
27
Vinicius Nogueira
D
26
F. Kaloc
↓ 77'
M
23
D. Duarte
⚽ 81'
M
18
I. Chochev
M
14
P. Stanic
🎯 81'
M
77
Erick Marcus
↓ 90+1'
M
29
E. Bile
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
82
I. Yordanov
↑ 77'
M
5
G. Terziev
D
7
A. Salido Tajero
↑ 66'
F
1
S. Padt
G
30
Pedro Naressi
↑ 90+1'
M
81
G. Penev
M
42
S. Shishkov
D
75
E. Syrov
9
K. Duah
F
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
78
M. Lukov
G
21
A. Neves
🟨 70'
D
50
K. Dimitrov
D
31
N. Serafimov
D
3
Maicon
🟨 71'
D
18
G. Trdin
↓ 83' 🟨 29'
M
47
A. Bouras
M
95
K. Fabien
↓ 61'
M
10
A. Mitkov
↓ 61' 🟨 38'
M
22
M. Soula
↓ 77' 🟨 65'
M
12
M. Sangare
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
9
J. Perea
⚽ 67' ↑ 46'
F
4
C. Makoun
D
92
S. Vutsov
G
45
M. Dugandzic
F
17
Everton Bala
🎯 67' ↑ 61'
M
71
O. Kamdem
D
11
A. Oko-Flex
↑ 77'
M
70
G. Kostadinov
↑ 83'
M
99
R. Kirilov
↑ 61'
M
Last matches: Ludogorets
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
02.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
26.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
23.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
Last matches: Levski Sofia
19.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Akademik Svishtov
4
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
3
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
15.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
4
3
W
22.02.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Vihren
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
AS Trencin
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
H2H: Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia
13.05.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
05.03.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
11.02.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.02.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
19.09.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.02.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
1
L
17.08.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
26.05.24
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
L
03.04.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
5
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
03.06.23
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
3
2
W
28.02.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
Last matches: Ludogorets
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
02.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
2
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Nice
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Ludogorets
PAOK
3
3
D
08.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
30.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Vratsa
2
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Celta Vigo
3
2
W
09.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
2
3
L
18.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
02.10.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Real Betis
0
2
L
28.09.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
H2H at home: Ludogorets
13.05.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
05.03.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
11.02.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.04.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
5
1
W
03.06.23
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
3
2
W
Last matches: Levski Sofia
25.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
25.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
3
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
05.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
15.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
22.02.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
3
1
W
07.12.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
3
1
W
04.12.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
23.11.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Montana
5
1
W
02.11.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
3
0
W
19.10.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
3
1
W
30.09.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
26.09.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
14.09.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
1
W
28.08.25
UEF
Levski Sofia
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
17.08.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
14.08.25
UEF
Levski Sofia
Sabah FA
2
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Levski Sofia
SC Braga
0
1
L
27.07.25
Fir
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
H2H away: Levski Sofia
13.05.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
05.03.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
11.02.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
03.04.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
5
1
L
03.06.23
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
3
2
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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