BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Huvepharma Arena
Referee: T. Kirov
Ludogorets
Match Timeline
CSKA 1948
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
B. Sobrero · Assist: B. Tsonev
CSKA 1948
18'
Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
🔄
19'
E. Kurtulus ↔ I. Nachmias
Ludogorets
26'
M. Diallo · Assist: E. Franco
CSKA 1948
🟨
49'
Vinicius Nogueira
Ludogorets
🟨
49'
Florian Krebs
CSKA 1948
🟨
62'
Borislav Tsonev
CSKA 1948
🔄
68'
Son ↔ A. Nedyalkov
Ludogorets
🔄
68'
Rwan Cruz ↔ I. Chochev
Ludogorets
🔄
68'
D. Duarte ↔ F. Kaloc
Ludogorets
🔄
74'
P. Vitanov ↔ A. Hoffmann
CSKA 1948
🔄
74'
B. Sobrero ↔ M. Boychev
CSKA 1948
🟨
75'
Dragan Grivić
CSKA 1948
🔄
78'
M. Diallo ↔ A. Iliev
CSKA 1948
🔄
84'
Erick Marcus ↔ B. Tekpetey
Ludogorets
🔄
84'
B. Tsonev ↔ G. Rusev
CSKA 1948
🟨
90+2'
Atanas Iliev
CSKA 1948

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Ludogorets Win 48.9%
Draw 10%
CSKA 1948 Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ludogorets1.44
CSKA 19481.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WWDLW
82 GF / 47 GA
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WLDWL
50 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
22
BTTS Yes
14
26
Over 2.5
17
4.24
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ludogorets Ludogorets 48 matches
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 30 matches
Ludogorets Statistic CSKA 1948
24 Wins 18
13 Draws 5
11 Losses 7
82 Goals For 50
47 Goals Against 31
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
22 BTTS Yes 14
35 Over 1.5 21
26 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 8
21 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 7
4.24 Shots On Goal 3.7
12.36 Total Shots 9.56
4.67 Corners 4.11
45.2% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ludogorets expected to line up in 4-4-2 and CSKA 1948 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA 1948 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CSKA 1948 look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSKA 1948.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 60 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a 57:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on I. Chochev (16 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), P. Stanic (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (9 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 59 points from 30 games, CSKA 1948 bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 18 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:31, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Diallo (16 goals), A. Iliev (6 goals), E. Franco (6 goals), with creative support from Frederic (6 assists), G. Rusev (6 assists), B. Tsonev (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 8 times, CSKA 1948 won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:19 from Ludogorets's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Ludogorets 4-4-2 / CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ludogorets wins 8, draws 4, CSKA 1948 wins 3
Stats
Ludogorets Ludogorets
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
0
10 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
593 Total passes 208
517 Passes accurate 145
1.78 expected_goals 1.34
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ludogorets
Formation
CSKA 1948
H. Bonmann
H. Bonmann
Son
Son
E. Kurtulus
E. Kurtulus
D. Almeida
D. Almeida
Vinicius Nogueira
Vinicius Nogueira
Pedro Naressi
Pedro Naressi
D. Duarte
D. Duarte
Erick Marcus
Erick Marcus
P. Stanic
P. Stanic
Rwan Cruz
Rwan Cruz
K. Duah
K. Duah
D. Sheytanov
D. Sheytanov
D. Grivic
D. Grivic
A. Traore
A. Traore
L. Dvali
L. Dvali
O. Gasevic
O. Gasevic
F. Krebs
F. Krebs
B. Tsonev
🎯
B. Tsonev
P. Vitanov
P. Vitanov
B. Sobrero
B. Sobrero
E. Franco
🎯
E. Franco
M. Diallo
M. Diallo
Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
H. Bonmann
G
17
Son
↓ 68'
D
15
E. Kurtulus
↓ 19'
D
4
D. Almeida
D
27
Vinicius Nogueira
🟨 49'
D
30
Pedro Naressi
M
23
D. Duarte
↓ 68'
M
77
Erick Marcus
⚽ 18' ↓ 84'
M
14
P. Stanic
M
12
Rwan Cruz
↓ 68'
M
9
K. Duah
F
Substitutes
1
S. Padt
G
3
A. Nedyalkov
↑ 68'
D
7
A. Salido Tajero
F
18
I. Chochev
↑ 68'
M
26
F. Kaloc
↑ 68'
M
37
B. Tekpetey
↑ 84'
M
55
I. Nachmias
↑ 19'
D
75
E. Syrov
5
G. Terziev
D
CSKA 1948 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
D. Sheytanov
G
96
D. Grivic
🟨 75'
D
88
A. Traore
D
21
L. Dvali
D
22
O. Gasevic
D
23
F. Krebs
🟨 49'
M
10
B. Tsonev
🎯 8' ↓ 84' 🟨 62'
M
34
P. Vitanov
↓ 74'
M
20
B. Sobrero
⚽ 8' ↓ 74'
77
E. Franco
🎯 26'
F
93
M. Diallo
⚽ 26' ↓ 78'
Substitutes
1
P. Marinov
G
4
A. Hoffmann
↑ 74'
M
9
A. Iliev
↑ 78' 🟨 90+2'
F
11
G. Rusev
↑ 84'
M
87
A. David
D
14
K. Strinski
19
M. Boychev
↑ 74'
67
Frederic
M
3
J. Carrion
Last matches: Ludogorets
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
Last matches: CSKA 1948
22.07.26
UEF
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Maribor
3
3
D
29.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
FK Partizan
3
0
W
21.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Drita
4
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
15.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
4
0
W
10.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
05.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
H2H: Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948
16.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
L
25.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
05.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
27.10.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
5
4
L
07.04.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
W
16.12.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
3
W
28.10.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
11.04.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
1
W
03.03.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
29.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
1
W
10.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
28.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
24.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
W
13.11.22
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
22.07.22
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
Last matches: Ludogorets
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
02.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
2
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Nice
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Ludogorets
PAOK
3
3
D
08.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
30.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Vratsa
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ludogorets
25.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
05.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
28.10.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
03.03.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
29.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
1
W
10.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
13.11.22
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
Last matches: CSKA 1948
22.07.26
UEF
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
15.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
4
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
05.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Montana
1
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Rapid
1
2
L
03.12.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
0
3
L
03.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
19.10.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
25.09.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
31.08.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
24.08.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
H2H away: CSKA 1948
25.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
W
05.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
L
28.10.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
L
03.03.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
2
0
L
29.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
1
L
10.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
13.11.22
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D

Standings

A PFG: Championship Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 25 6 5 71:25 46 81
D W D L W
2 36 20 7 9 54:35 19 67
D W D L L
3 36 19 10 7 61:25 36 67
W L D W L
4 36 18 9 9 47:30 17 63
L L D W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)