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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
05.12.2026 16:00
Huvepharma Arena

Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Ludogorets Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cherno More Varna Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ludogorets1.96
Cherno More Varna1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WWDLW
50 GF / 23 GA
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
WLDWL
30 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
11
3.17
Shots on Goal
2.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ludogorets Ludogorets 21 matches
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 25 matches
Ludogorets Statistic Cherno More Varna
15 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
1 Losses 10
50 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 33
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 8
1 Failed To Score 8
3.17 Shots On Goal 2.45
7.25 Total Shots 5
2.75 Corners 2.45
32.8% Ball Possession 25.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 7 times, Cherno More Varna won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Ludogorets's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Ludogorets 4-2-3-1 / Cherno More Varna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ludogorets wins 7, draws 4, Cherno More Varna wins 4

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:4 19 28
W D W W W
2 11 8 3 0 27:9 18 27
W D W W D
3 10 8 2 0 21:7 14 26
W W W D D
4 11 7 1 3 21:13 8 22
L W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 17:14 3 19
W W W W L
6 11 5 2 4 15:17 -2 17
L D L L W
7 11 3 4 4 11:15 -4 13
W L D D D
8 11 2 5 4 9:9 0 11
L L D W L
9 11 2 3 6 9:20 -11 9
L D D W L
10 11 2 2 7 13:21 -8 8
W D L L D
11 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
D D L W L
12 11 1 5 5 12:19 -7 8
D W L D L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L L D
14 11 1 3 7 11:22 -11 6
L D D L L
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