KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Luanda Villa Win 51.6%
Draw 10.5%
Soy United Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luanda Villa0.78
Soy United1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
WWDLW
30 GF / 50 GA
Soy United Soy United
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
10
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luanda Villa Luanda Villa 37 matches
Soy United Soy United 37 matches
Luanda Villa Statistic Soy United
12 Wins 13
7 Draws 10
18 Losses 14
30 Goals For 30
50 Goals Against 27
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
10 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 1
12 Clean Sheets 16
17 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Soy United's more proactive style and Luanda Villa's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Soy United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Soy United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Luanda Villa Analysis

So far, Luanda Villa have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 43 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, while the 30:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Soy United Analysis

Soy United sit 10 with 49 points after 37 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, while the 30:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Luanda Villa won 0 times, Soy United won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Luanda Villa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
H2H summary: Luanda Villa wins 0, draws 0, Soy United wins 2
Last matches: Luanda Villa
07.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
23.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
Last matches: Soy United
07.06.26
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
H2H: Luanda Villa vs Soy United
13.06.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
L
Last matches: Luanda Villa
01.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
2
4
L
21.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
3
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
2
0
W
17.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
1
1
D
H2H at home: Luanda Villa
13.06.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
Last matches: Soy United
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
26.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
H2H away: Soy United
13.06.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation