KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Luanda Villa Win 39.1%
Draw 4.4%
Mombasa Elite Win 56.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luanda Villa0.83
Mombasa Elite1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
WWDLW
28 GF / 49 GA
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
WLDWL
47 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luanda Villa Luanda Villa 35 matches
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 34 matches
Luanda Villa Statistic Mombasa Elite
11 Wins 22
6 Draws 3
18 Losses 9
28 Goals For 47
49 Goals Against 30
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 15
17 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Mombasa Elite's more proactive style and Luanda Villa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Mombasa Elite carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 72 points while Luanda Villa sit 13 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mombasa Elite. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mombasa Elite having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Luanda Villa Analysis

So far, Luanda Villa have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 39 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 28:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mombasa Elite Analysis

Mombasa Elite arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 72 points after 35 matches. The record of 23 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 49:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Luanda Villa won 3 times, Mombasa Elite won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Luanda Villa's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Luanda Villa wins 3, draws 0, Mombasa Elite wins 3
Last matches: Luanda Villa
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
23.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
18.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
2
4
L
11.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
27.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
0
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
3
1
W
27.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
1
0
W
20.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
18.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
0
1
L
H2H: Luanda Villa vs Mombasa Elite
01.06.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
11.10.25
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
1
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
3
1
L
11.12.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
5
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
3
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
5
0
W
Last matches: Luanda Villa
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
2
4
L
21.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
3
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
2
0
W
17.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
SamWest Blackboots
1
1
D
H2H at home: Luanda Villa
01.06.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
11.12.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
5
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
5
0
W
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
24.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
0
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
0
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
3
1
W
20.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
01.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
0
1
L
12.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
3
L
02.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
29.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
0
4
L
15.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
2
L
27.09.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
1
0
W
H2H away: Mombasa Elite
01.06.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
L
11.12.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
5
1
L
17.09.23
H2H
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
5
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D