KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
19.04.2026 12:00

Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
88.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
82.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Luanda Villa Win 31.9%
Draw 20.4%
Kibera Black Stars Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luanda Villa0.74
Kibera Black Stars1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
WWDLW
19 GF / 38 GA
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luanda Villa Luanda Villa 28 matches
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars 28 matches
Luanda Villa Statistic Kibera Black Stars
8 Wins 14
5 Draws 3
15 Losses 11
19 Goals For 25
38 Goals Against 23
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
7 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 12
15 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kibera Black Stars's more proactive style and Luanda Villa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kibera Black Stars carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 45 points while Luanda Villa sit 15 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kibera Black Stars having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kibera Black Stars. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Luanda Villa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Luanda Villa Analysis

With 29 points from 28 games and a place of 15, Luanda Villa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats with a 19:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kibera Black Stars Analysis

Kibera Black Stars sit 7 with 45 points after 28 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, while the 25:23 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Luanda Villa won 3 times, Kibera Black Stars won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Luanda Villa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
H2H summary: Luanda Villa wins 3, draws 1, Kibera Black Stars wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation