KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
88.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Luanda Villa Win 69.4%
Draw 6.9%
Darajani Gogo Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luanda Villa0.9
Darajani Gogo0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
WWDLW
21 GF / 39 GA
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo
WLDWL
19 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.63
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luanda Villa Luanda Villa 30 matches
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo 30 matches
Luanda Villa Statistic Darajani Gogo
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
16 Losses 16
21 Goals For 19
39 Goals Against 36
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
7 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 11
16 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Darajani Gogo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Darajani Gogo having the stronger overall control.

Luanda Villa Analysis

Luanda Villa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 32 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats with a 21:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Darajani Gogo Analysis

With 28 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Darajani Gogo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 19:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Luanda Villa won 4 times, Darajani Gogo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Luanda Villa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
H2H summary: Luanda Villa wins 4, draws 0, Darajani Gogo wins 2
Last matches: Luanda Villa
13.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
23.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
28.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
3
L
09.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
H2H: Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo
03.05.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
13.12.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
W
21.06.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
08.12.23
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
2
1
L
Last matches: Luanda Villa
13.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
2
4
L
21.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
3
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
2
0
W
17.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
1
1
D
H2H at home: Luanda Villa
03.05.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
16.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
3
L
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
21.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
1
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
23.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
10.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
25.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
0
1
L
H2H away: Darajani Gogo
03.05.26
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
4
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
2
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation