🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
03.05.2026 02:30
Dignity Health Sports Park
Referee: Alexis Da Silva, USA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Mauricio Cuevas
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
32'
Andrés Cubas
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
M. Reus ↔ E. Cerrillo
Los Angeles Galaxy
46'
J. Paintsil · Assist: L. Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
62'
A. Cubas ↔ K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
62'
C. Sabaly ↔ A. Jackson
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
63'
E. Sabbi ↔ B. Caicedo
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
65'
Lucas Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
66'
Édier Ocampo
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
67'
Edwin Cerrillo
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
75'
L. Sanabria ↔ E. Wynder
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
79'
H. Miller ↔ M. Yoshida
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
79'
M. Cuevas ↔ M. Yamane
Los Angeles Galaxy
81'
M. Laborda · Assist: S. Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
84'
Sebastian Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
87'
Tristan Blackmon
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
88'
S. Berhalter ↔ O. Larraz
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
90+3'
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
90+1'
Jakob Glesnes
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
90+5'
Oliver Larraz
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
90'
J. Haak ↔ T. Elgersma
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 33.5%
Draw 18.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy1.44
Vancouver Whitecaps1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WWDLW
39 GF / 31 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
30 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
14
BTTS Yes
5
16
Over 2.5
9
5.88
Shots on Goal
6.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 22 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 17 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 1
7 Losses 6
39 Goals For 30
31 Goals Against 16
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
14 BTTS Yes 5
20 Over 1.5 13
16 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 5
5.88 Shots On Goal 6.38
14.38 Total Shots 17.54
5.81 Corners 7
53.9% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 24 points while Los Angeles Galaxy sit 10 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles Galaxy expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. Vancouver Whitecaps look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy are currently 10 in the standings with 12 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Joao Klauss (5 goals), M. Reus (4 goals), L. Sanabria (2 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (3 assists), Gabriel Pec (3 assists), J. Paintsil (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 24 points from 9 games, Vancouver Whitecaps bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 25:5 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on B. White (8 goals), T. Muller (4 goals), S. Berhalter (3 goals), with creative support from S. Berhalter (3 assists), Emmanuel Sabbi (2 assists), M. Laborda (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 6 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:25 from Los Angeles Galaxy's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Los Angeles Galaxy 6, Vancouver Whitecaps 4
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 6, draws 3, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)